Juan Pablo Varillas and Nicolas Mejia will clash against each other in the quarter of the Ambato Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.182
Nicolas Mejia -> 4.6
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Nicolas Mejia
This will be the 2nd time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Nicolas Mejia square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in M25 Pensacola back in 2019.
Juan Pablo Varillas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-31 | 0-5 | 27-25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 4-7 | 23-17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 53-27 | 2-3 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 51-23 | 0-2 | 51-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 123, the Peruvian got to the quarter after defeating Kousuke Ogura 6-2 6-2 and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 7-66 7-64.
In the 2nd round, Pablo Patino-Samudio had a good straight sets win against Mpetshi Perricard (7-66 7-64). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 76 points vs Mpetshi Perricard’s 69. Juan was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio made 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Juan Pablo Varillas was very efficient on serve to win 93% (42/45) of his 1st serve and 71% (17/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pablo Patino-Samudio hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (353-220). 42-20 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Pablo Patino-Samudio has an aggregate321-188 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Pablo Patino-Samudio’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger and the Campinas Challenger.
The Peruvian has an aggregate 44-24 win-loss record in 2022, 42-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Ambato Challenger
Nicolas Mejia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44-33 | 18-21 | 23-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-33 | 6-13 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-35 | 13-12 | 15-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-28 | 16-10 | 5-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 293, Nicolas reached the quarter after defeating Gerald Melzer 7-5 7-66 and Jorge Brian Panta Herreros 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Mejia had a good straight sets win against Brian Panta Herreros (6-3 6-4). During the match Mejia scored 69 points vs Brian Panta Herreros’s 56. Nicolas was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Mejia made 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Nicolas Mejia was very efficient on serve to win 84% (27/32) of his 1st serve and 61% (20/33) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mejia broke Brian Panta Herreros twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Colombian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Mejia’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Anapoima and the Cali Challenger.
Nicolas has a compiled 28-30 win-loss record in 2022, 15-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Ambato Challenger
Nicolas has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 44 |
| Pts | 129-99 | 157-131 |
| Total Points | 228 | 288 |
| Winners | 61 | 65 |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% |
Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Mejia played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pablo Patino-Samudio and Mejia have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 2 games less than Mejia. Juan scored 61 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Mejia made 65 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 66/108 | 79/136 |
| %1st in | 61% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 61/66 | 65/79 |
| %1st pts | 92% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 30/42 | 34/57 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 60% |
Pablo Patino-Samudio recorded 15 aces (7.5 per match). Mejia made 23 aces (11.5 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 92% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Mejia won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pablo Patino-Samudio | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/15 |
| % Converted | 57% | 27% |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 |
| Saved | 0 | 7 |
| % Saved | 0% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Juan broke his opponents 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Juan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Nicolas broke his opponents 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | ||||
| R1 Ogura |
R2 Mpetshi Perricard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-66 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 42 | |
| pts | 53-30 | 76-69 | 129-99 | |
| Total points | 83 | 145 | 228 | |
| Winners | 19 | 42 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 55% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 21/39 | 45/69 | 66/108 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 65% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 19/21 | 42/45 | 61/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 93% | 92% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 17/24 | 30/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 0/1 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 0% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mejia | ||||
| R1 Melzer |
R2 Brian Panta Herreros |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-66 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 19 | 44 | |
| pts | 88-75 | 69-56 | 157-131 | |
| Total points | 163 | 125 | 288 | |
| Winners | 38 | 27 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 10 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 47/71 | 32/65 | 79/136 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 49% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 27/32 | 65/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 20/33 | 34/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 61% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/9 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 22% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWLLW
LLLWLWWLLW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas – Nicolas MejiaMejia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez TavernaFa Rodriguez Taverna – Facundo BagnisBagnis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Miljan ZekicZekic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Facundo MenaMena (2-0) – H2H and prediction
