Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda will clash against each other in the final of the Gijon Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on Pista Central. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.47
Sebastian Korda -> 2.76
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 2nd time that Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Korda square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rublev won 7-5 7-6(7) in the quarter in Miami back in 2021.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Korda – Miami 01-April-2021
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Russian reached the final after defeating Ilya Ivashka 6-3 5-7 6-4, Tommy Paul 7-5 6-3 and Dominic Thiem 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Thiem (6-4 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 66 points vs Thiem’s 58. Andrey was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (29/39) of his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Thiem 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (374-206). 13-2 on indoor hard courts in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a composed 115-59 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Dubai where he beat Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Belgrade where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 6-2 6-7(4) 6-0.
The Russian has a compiled 46-16 win-loss record in 2022, 13-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Gijon
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 6-4 | 6-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Ranked no. 47, the American got to the final after defeating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 6-1, Roberto Bautista Agut 5-7 6-4 6-4, Andy Murray 6-4 1-6 6-1 and Arthur Rinderknech 7-62 6-3.
In the semifinal, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Rinderknech (7-62 6-3). During the match Korda scored 79 points vs Rinderknech’s 61. Korda was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda was quite effective on serve to win 83% (34/41) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Rinderknech once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Estoril and Gijon.
Korda has a compiled 30-19 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 95 |
| Pts | 255-203 | 336-289 |
| Total Points | 458 | 625 |
| Winners | 102 | 141 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Rublev played 3 matches while Korda competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev conceded 1 set, while Sebastian Korda lost 2 sets. Rublev has played 3 set(s) less than Korda (7 vs 10). Therefore, Rublev played 23 games less than Korda. Rublev scored 102 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Sebastian struck 141 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 31 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 7.8 |
| 1st in | 128/206 | 189/294 |
| %1st in | 62% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 102/128 | 141/189 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 47/78 | 63/105 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 60% |
Rublev made 17 aces (5.7 per match). Korda recorded 31 aces (7.8 per match). Rublev won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/31 | 12/33 |
| % Converted | 29% | 36% |
| Conceded | 9 | 20 |
| Saved | 5 | 15 |
| % Saved | 56% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Andrey broke his opponents 9 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 12 times with a 36% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||||
| R2 Ivashka |
1/4 Paul |
1/2 Thiem |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 21 | 20 | 72 | |
| pts | 118-90 | 71-55 | 66-58 | 255-203 | |
| Total points | 208 | 126 | 124 | 458 | |
| Winners | 42 | 31 | 29 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 44% | 44% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 52/86 | 37/60 | 39/60 | 128/206 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 62% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 42/52 | 31/37 | 29/39 | 102/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 84% | 74% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/34 | 12/23 | 12/21 | 47/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 52% | 57% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/14 | 3/9 | 3/8 | 9/31 | |
| Converted % | 21% | 33% | 38% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 0% | 67% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Korda | ||||||
| R1 Munar Clar |
R2 Bautista-Agut |
1/4 Murray |
1/2 Rinderknech |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 | 24 | 22 | 95 | |
| pts | 65-45 | 101-99 | 91-84 | 79-61 | 336-289 | |
| Total points | 110 | 200 | 175 | 140 | 625 | |
| Winners | 22 | 54 | 31 | 34 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 53% | 34% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 25/38 | 74/102 | 49/84 | 41/70 | 189/294 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 73% | 58% | 59% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 22/25 | 54/74 | 31/49 | 34/41 | 141/189 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 73% | 63% | 83% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 13/28 | 20/35 | 20/29 | 63/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 46% | 57% | 69% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/6 | 4/14 | 1/4 | 12/33 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/9 | 5/8 | 3/3 | 15 | |
| Saved % | – | 78% | 63% | 100% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLW
LWLLWWWWWW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Sebastian KordaKorda (1-0) – H2H and prediction
