Ugo Humbert and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the semifinal of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.40
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.75
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-20 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 5-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, Ugo got to the semifinal after defeating Laurent Lokoli 6-1 6-3, Stefano Travaglia 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Valentin Royer 6-0 6-2.
In the quarter, The French player had a good straight sets win against Royer (6-0 6-2). During the match, Humbert scored 61 points vs Royer’s 33. Ugo was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Humbert blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ugo Humbert was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (22/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Royer 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Humbert has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (250-164). 16-10 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has an overall106-54 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Ugo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Rennes Challenger.
Ugo has an overall 30-26 win-loss record in 2022, 16-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
Humbert has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-22 | 16-11 | 10-9 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 154 (career-high), Arnaldi got to the semifinal after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 6-2, Harold Mayot 6-2 6-3 and Gregoire Barrere 6-4 6-0.
In the quarter, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Barrere (6-4 6-0). During the match Arnaldi scored 56 points vs Barrere’s 33. Arnaldi was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 61% of his first serves in, winning 86% (24/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Matteo broke Barrere 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points he played.
Arnaldi’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.
The Italian has an overall 46-28 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 48 |
| Pts | 218-158 | 186-114 |
| Total Points | 376 | 300 |
| Winners | 90 | 68 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Both Humbert and Arnaldi played 3 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert dropped 1 set while Matteo Arnaldi hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Humbert has played 1 set more than Arnaldi (7 vs 6). Therefore, Humbert played 13 games more than Arnaldi. The French player scored 90 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaldi recorded 68 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 5 |
| 1st in | 121/182 | 81/152 |
| %1st in | 66% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 90/121 | 68/81 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 34/61 | 38/71 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Humbert struck 20 aces (6.7 per match). Arnaldi made 15 aces (5 per match). Humbert won 74% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 84% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 13/20 |
| % Converted | 48% | 65% |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Humbert broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Arnaldi broke his opponents 13 times with a 65% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | |||||
| R1 Lokoli |
R2 Travaglia |
1/4 Royer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 | 14 | 61 | |
| pts | 61-38 | 96-87 | 61-33 | 218-158 | |
| Total points | 99 | 183 | 94 | 376 | |
| Winners | 25 | 43 | 22 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 10 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 32/42 | 61/97 | 28/43 | 121/182 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 63% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 43/61 | 22/28 | 90/121 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 70% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 17/36 | 9/15 | 34/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 47% | 60% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 5/7 | 5/10 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 71% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Mayot |
1/4 Barrere |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 16 | 48 | |
| pts | 57-30 | 73-51 | 56-33 | 186-114 | |
| Total points | 87 | 124 | 89 | 300 | |
| Winners | 21 | 23 | 24 | 68 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 32% | 43% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 25/43 | 28/63 | 28/46 | 81/152 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 44% | 61% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 23/28 | 24/28 | 68/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 86% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 19/35 | 9/18 | 38/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 54% | 50% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/7 | 4/6 | 13/20 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 57% | 67% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLWLWL
WLWWLLWWWW Tennis Scores in St. Tropez Challenger
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Salvatore CarusoCaruso (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
