Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the quarter of the Firenze Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 9:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.41
Brandon Nakashima -> 3
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Brandon Nakashima
There is no head to head record between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Brandon Nakashima since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-19 | 8-8 | 1-3 | 14-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Felix reached the quarter after defeating Oscar Otte 6-4 6-72 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Canadian defeated Otte (6-4 6-72 6-2). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 95 points vs Otte’s 90. The Canadian was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Auger-Aliassime recorded 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (43/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the 2nd serve. Felix broke Otte 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Auger-Aliassime has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (265-156). 12-4 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate49-30 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 6-2.
Auger-Aliassime has a composed 41-24 win-loss record in 2022, 12-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Florence
The Canadian has never competed in this tournament before.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 46 (career-high), Nakashima got to the quarter after defeating Richard Gasquet 6-2 6-2 and Altug Celikbilek 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Celikbilek (6-3 6-4). During the match Nakashima scored 59 points vs Celikbilek’s 47. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima fired 11 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve once. Furthermore, Nakashima put 81% of his first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (5/11) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Celikbilek 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in San Diego where he overcame Marcos Giron in the final 6-4 6-4.
The American has a compiled 35-23 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 35 |
| Pts | 95-90 | 113-82 |
| Total Points | 185 | 195 |
| Winners | 43 | 61 |
| %Winners | 45% | 54% |
Auger-Aliassime played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Felix Auger-Aliassime surrendered 1 set while Brandon Nakashima hasn’t dropped a set so far. Auger-Aliassime has played 1 set(s) less than Nakashima (3 vs 4). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 4 games less than Nakashima. Felix scored 43 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima bagged 61 winners (54%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 11.5 |
| 1st in | 61/94 | 75/99 |
| %1st in | 65% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 43/61 | 61/75 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 54% |
Auger-Aliassime bagged 13 aces . Nakashima struck 23 aces (11.5 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 7/11 |
| % Converted | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 |
| Saved | 4 | 0 |
| % Saved | 67% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Auger-Aliassime broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | |||
| R2 Otte |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-72 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 95-90 | 95-90 | |
| Total points | 185 | 185 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 61/94 | 61/94 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 43/61 | 43/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 19/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Gasquet |
R2 Celikbilek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 19 | 35 | |
| pts | 54-35 | 59-47 | 113-82 | |
| Total points | 89 | 106 | 195 | |
| Winners | 25 | 36 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 61% | 54% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 11 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 29/42 | 46/57 | 75/99 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 81% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 36/46 | 61/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 78% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 5/11 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 45% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/5 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 60% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLWWWL
LLLWLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Florence
- Lorenzo Sonego/Andrea VavassoriSonego/Andrea Vavassori – Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nicolas Mahut/Edouard Roger-VasselinMahut/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Maxime Cressy/John-Patrick SmithCressy/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander BublikBublik – Jeff WolfWolf (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mikael YmerYmer – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (0-0) – H2H and prediction
