Gregoire Barrere and Matteo Arnaldi will square off in the quarter of the St. Tropez Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 11:00 am on CENTRAL TAG HEUER. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gregoire Barrere who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gregoire Barrere is the pick to win this match.
Gregoire Barrere -> 1.54
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Gregoire Barrere vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Gregoire Barrere and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Gregoire Barrere
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-24 | 1-4 | 16-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-31 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 17-8 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-29 | 10-7 | 8-10 | 25-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 7-4 | 3-6 | 11-10 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-13 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 119, Barrere got to the quarter after beating Luca Van Assche 6-1 7-68 and Lukas Rosol 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Barrere had a good straight sets win against Rosol (6-3 7-5). During the match, Barrere scored 68 points vs Rosol’s 57. Gregoire was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Barrere struck 8 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Gregoire Barrere lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Barrere put 77% of his first serves in, winning 69% (34/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. Barrere broke Rosol 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Barrere has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (379-261). 10-6 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Barrere has an aggregate 75-63 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The French player best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Quimper Challenger,the Aix En Provence Challenger,the Pozoblanco Challenger and the Orleans Challenger.
The French player has a compiled 37-26 win-loss record in 2022, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-22 | 16-11 | 10-9 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 154 (career-high), Arnaldi reached the quarter after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-1 6-2 and Harold Mayot 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Arnaldi had a good straight sets win against Mayot (6-2 6-3). During the match Arnaldi scored 73 points vs Mayot’s 51. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi recorded 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was extremely efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of his 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Arnaldi broke Mayot 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 62% of the points he played.
Arnaldi’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.
The Italian has an overall 45-28 win-loss record in 2022, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the St. Tropez Challenger
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barrere | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 41 | 32 |
| Pts | 142-117 | 130-81 |
| Total Points | 259 | 211 |
| Winners | 71 | 44 |
| %Winners | 50% | 34% |
Both Barrere and Arnaldi played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Barrere and Arnaldi have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Barrere played 9 games more than Arnaldi. Gregoire scored 71 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaldi struck 44 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barrere | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 98/138 | 53/106 |
| %1st in | 71% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 71/98 | 44/53 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 21/40 | 29/53 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 55% |
Barrere made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Arnaldi bagged 11 aces (5.5 per match). Barrere won 72% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barrere | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 9 |
| Converted | 7/9 | 9/14 |
| % Converted | 78% | 64% |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 78% conversion rate. Barrere lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Barrere | ||||
| R1 Van |
R2 Rosol |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-68 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 41 | |
| pts | 74-60 | 68-57 | 142-117 | |
| Total points | 134 | 125 | 259 | |
| Winners | 37 | 34 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/74 | 49/64 | 98/138 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 77% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 34/49 | 71/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 10/15 | 21/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 67% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/4 | 7/9 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 75% | 78% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Mayot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 32 | |
| pts | 57-30 | 73-51 | 130-81 | |
| Total points | 87 | 124 | 211 | |
| Winners | 21 | 23 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/43 | 28/63 | 53/106 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 44% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 23/28 | 44/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 19/35 | 29/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 54% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/7 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 57% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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