Jozef Kovalik and Timofey Skatov will clash against each other in the final of the Parma Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jozef Kovalik who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jozef Kovalik is the pick to win this match.
Jozef Kovalik -> 1.6
Timofey Skatov -> 2.28
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Prediction and head to head Jozef Kovalik vs. Timofey Skatov
There is no head to head record between Jozef Kovalik and Timofey Skatov since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Jozef Kovalik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-22 | 3-5 | 30-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-34 | 1-3 | 21-28 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 3-6 | 29-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-27 | 0-1 | 26-20 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-16 | 2-3 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 156, the Slovakian reached the final after defeating Andrea Pellegrino 6-1 6-3, Flavio Cobolli 5-7 6-3 6-2, Andrea Vavassori 6-3 7-65 and Vit Kopriva 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal, Kovalik had a good straight sets win against Kopriva (6-3 7-5). During the match, Kovalik scored 81 points vs Kopriva’s 68. Kovalik was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovalik recorded 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jozef Kovalik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kovalik put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (10/21) on the 2nd serve. Jozef broke Kopriva 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jozef has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Kovalik has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (347-250). 29-12 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovalik has a composed 271-162 record in the last years on clay.
The Slovakian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Tulln Challenger.
Jozef has a composed 32-19 win-loss record in 2022, 29-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Parma Challenger
Kovalik has never competed in this tournament before.
Timofey Skatov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-22 | 5-7 | 29-14 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 6-4 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-32 | 4-3 | 30-27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 0-2 | 33-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 37-14 | 3-1 | 34-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 209, Timofey got to the final after beating Stefano Napolitano 7-5 6-3, Carlos Taberner 6-72 6-2 6-2, Mate Valkusz 1-6 7-5 4-0 ret. and Gianluca Mager 7-65 6-2.
In the semifinal, Timofey had a good straight sets win against Mager (7-65 6-2). During the match Skatov scored 70 points vs Mager’s 63. The Kazakhstani was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Skatov bagged 3 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Timofey Skatov lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Skatov put 82% of his first serves in, winning 66% (40/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mager 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Skatov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Roseto Degli Abruzzi 2 Challenger,the Seville Challenger,the Braga Challenger,the Lisbon Challenger and the Parma Challenger.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 28-28 win-loss record in 2022, 24-23 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovalik | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 88 | 94 |
| Pts | 342-273 | 331-291 |
| Total Points | 615 | 622 |
| Winners | 141 | 158 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Both Kovalik and Skatov played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jozef Kovalik surrendered 1 set, while Timofey Skatov lost 2 sets. Kovalik has played 2 set(s) less than Skatov (9 vs 11). Therefore, Kovalik played 6 games less than Skatov. The Slovakian scored 141 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Skatov made 158 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovalik | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 0.8 |
| 1st in | 197/300 | 252/309 |
| %1st in | 66% | 82% |
| 1st pts | 141/197 | 158/252 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 53/103 | 32/57 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 56% |
Kovalik struck 17 aces (4.3 per match). Skatov recorded 3 aces (0.8 per match). Kovalik won 72% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Skatov won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovalik | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 19 |
| Converted | 18/47 | 19/38 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 34 | 29 |
| Saved | 25 | 18 |
| % Saved | 74% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 11 |
Jozef broke his opponents 18 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jozef lost his serve 9 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 19 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovalik | ||||||
| R1 Pellegrino |
R2 Cobolli |
1/4 Vavassori |
1/2 Kopriva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 5-7 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-65 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 29 | 22 | 21 | 88 | |
| pts | 68-42 | 112-95 | 81-68 | 81-68 | 342-273 | |
| Total points | 110 | 207 | 149 | 149 | 615 | |
| Winners | 25 | 49 | 37 | 30 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 46% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/41 | 72/120 | 53/75 | 43/64 | 197/300 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 60% | 71% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/29 | 49/72 | 37/53 | 30/43 | 141/197 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 68% | 70% | 70% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 24/48 | 13/22 | 10/21 | 53/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | 59% | 48% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/9 | 3/9 | 5/16 | 18/47 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 56% | 33% | 31% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 34 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 14/17 | 4/6 | 6/9 | 25 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 82% | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Skatov | ||||||
| R1 Napolitano |
R2 Taberner |
1/4 Valkusz |
1/2 Mager |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-72 6-2 6-2 | 1-6 7-5 4-0 ret. | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 29 | 23 | 21 | 94 | |
| pts | 76-64 | 104-91 | 81-73 | 70-63 | 331-291 | |
| Total points | 140 | 195 | 154 | 133 | 622 | |
| Winners | 37 | 50 | 31 | 40 | 158 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% | 38% | 57% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 59/71 | 77/92 | 55/72 | 61/74 | 252/309 | |
| % 1st in | 83% | 84% | 76% | 82% | 82% | |
| 1st pts | 37/59 | 50/77 | 31/55 | 40/61 | 158/252 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 65% | 56% | 66% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/12 | 9/15 | 10/17 | 8/13 | 32/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 60% | 59% | 62% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/19 | 5/9 | 3/3 | 19/38 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 32% | 56% | 100% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 29 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 7/9 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 78% | 50% | 75% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Timofey SkatovSkatov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
