Denis Shapovalov and Yoshihito Nishioka will play each other in the final of the Korea Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.53
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.58
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Yoshihito Nishioka
This will be the 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Yoshihito Nishioka square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nishioka won 7-6(5) 3-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Shenzhen back in 2018.
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-24 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 14-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-15 | 8-6 | 5-2 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Denis got to the final after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-5 6-4, Radu Albot 6-2 6-2 and Jenson Brooksby 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (7-5 6-4). During the match, Shapovalov scored 62 points vs Brooksby’s 57. Denis was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Shapovalov bagged 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was quite effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shapovalov broke Brooksby 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Canadian hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Shapovalov has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (253-162). 19-10 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shapovalov has an aggregate115-71 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Denis’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai and Seoul.
The Canadian has an aggregate 24-19 win-loss record in 2022, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Seoul
Denis has never competed in this tournament before.
Yoshihito Nishioka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-24 | 16-15 | 6-7 | 1-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-22 | 14-15 | 5-5 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 25-13 | 2-5 | 17-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-26 | 5-11 | 8-7 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-13 | 10-6 | 2-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, Nishioka reached the final after beating Daniel Evans 6-2 7-63, Taro Daniel 6-2 6-4, Casper Ruud 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Nishioka defeated Kovacevic (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Nishioka scored 86 points vs Kovacevic’s 70. Nishioka was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Nishioka scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Yoshihito Nishioka was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Nishioka broke Kovacevic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Japanese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Nishioka’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Columbus Challenger,the Cleveland Challenger and Washington.
Nishioka has a composed 38-21 win-loss record in 2022, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 92 |
| Pts | 205-159 | 303-252 |
| Total Points | 364 | 555 |
| Winners | 79 | 133 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Shapovalov played 3 matches while Nishioka competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Yoshihito Nishioka surrendered 2 sets while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shapovalov has played 4 set(s) less than Nishioka (6 vs 10). Therefore, Shapovalov played 32 games less than Nishioka. Shapovalov scored 79 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Nishioka fired 133 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 105/161 | 188/261 |
| %1st in | 65% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 79/105 | 133/188 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 35/56 | 47/73 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 64% |
Shapovalov struck 16 aces (5.3 per match). Nishioka bagged 9 aces (2.3 per match). Shapovalov won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Nishioka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 15 |
| Converted | 12/24 | 15/38 |
| % Converted | 50% | 39% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 43% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Shapovalov broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. Yoshihito conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||||
| R2 Munar Clar |
1/4 Albot |
1/2 Brooksby |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 16 | 22 | 60 | |
| pts | 81-61 | 62-41 | 62-57 | 205-159 | |
| Total points | 142 | 103 | 119 | 364 | |
| Winners | 27 | 23 | 29 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 37% | 47% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 39/59 | 26/41 | 40/61 | 105/161 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 63% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/39 | 23/26 | 29/40 | 79/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 88% | 73% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 9/15 | 11/21 | 35/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 60% | 52% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/10 | 4/5 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 40% | 80% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 33% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Nishioka | ||||||
| R1 Evans |
R2 Daniel |
1/4 Ruud |
1/2 Kovacevic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-63 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 25 | 28 | 92 | |
| pts | 78-65 | 56-45 | 83-72 | 86-70 | 303-252 | |
| Total points | 143 | 101 | 155 | 156 | 555 | |
| Winners | 30 | 29 | 34 | 40 | 133 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 52% | 41% | 47% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/64 | 37/51 | 53/73 | 55/73 | 188/261 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 73% | 73% | 75% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 29/37 | 34/53 | 40/55 | 133/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 78% | 64% | 73% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | 8/14 | 15/20 | 12/18 | 47/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | 75% | 67% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 3/5 | 4/9 | 4/10 | 15/38 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 60% | 44% | 40% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 1/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 83% | 33% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
