H2H, PREDICTION Denis Shapovalov vs Yoshihito Nishioka | Seoul odds, preview, pick

PREVIEW. Seoul. Shapovalov and Nishioka will fight against each other in the final of the Korea Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match

Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

Denis Shapovalov and Yoshihito Nishioka will play each other in the final of the Korea Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.53
Yoshihito Nishioka -> 2.58

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Yoshihito Nishioka

This will be the 2nd time that Denis Shapovalov and Yoshihito Nishioka square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Nishioka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Nishioka won 7-6(5) 3-6 7-5 in the 2nd round in Shenzhen back in 2018.

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov
Denis Shapovalov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
78
High
10
WWWWWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-24 9-10 5-6 14-5 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0
2020 17-15 8-6 5-2 4-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Denis got to the final after beating Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 7-5 6-4, Radu Albot 6-2 6-2 and Jenson Brooksby 7-5 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Canadian had a good straight sets win against Brooksby (7-5 6-4). During the match, Shapovalov scored 62 points vs Brooksby’s 57. Denis was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shapovalov bagged 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was quite effective on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shapovalov broke Brooksby 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Canadian hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

Shapovalov has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (253-162). 19-10 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shapovalov has an aggregate115-71 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Denis’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai and Seoul.

The Canadian has an aggregate 24-19 win-loss record in 2022, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Seoul

Denis has never competed in this tournament before.

Shapovalov
Seoul
Shapovalov's Record

Yoshihito Nishioka

Yoshihito Nishioka
Yoshihito Nishioka

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
70
High
24
LLWLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-24 16-15 6-7 1-0 5-2 0-0
2023 23-22 14-15 5-5 4-1 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 25-13 2-5 17-6 0-1 0-0
2021 19-26 5-11 8-7 5-5 1-3 0-0
2020 16-13 10-6 2-4 4-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 56, Nishioka reached the final after beating Daniel Evans 6-2 7-63, Taro Daniel 6-2 6-4, Casper Ruud 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, Nishioka defeated Kovacevic (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Nishioka scored 86 points vs Kovacevic’s 70. Nishioka was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

About the serving games, Nishioka scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Yoshihito Nishioka was quite efficient on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Nishioka broke Kovacevic 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Nishioka’s best result of the year was reaching the final in the Columbus Challenger,the Cleveland Challenger and Washington.

Nishioka has a composed 38-21 win-loss record in 2022, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Nishioka
Seoul
Nishioka's Record
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H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Shapovalov
Y.Nishioka
4h:34
4h:34
Time on court​
!
6h:57
6h:57
1h:33
1h:33
Last match​
1h:52
1h:52
3
3
Match played
!
4
4
60
60
Games Played​
92
92
6
6
Set played​​
10
10
205
205
Total points​
303
303
68.3
68.3
Avg point​
75.8
75.8
79
79
Winners
133
133
26.3
26.3
Avg Winners​
33.3
33.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
9
9
5.3
5.3
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
9
9
Double Faults
3
3
3
3
Avg Double Faults
0.8
0.8
79/105
79/105
1st won total​
133/188
133/188
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
35/56
35/56
2nd won total​
47/73
47/73
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
!
64%
64%
-- Break Points --
12/24
12/24
BP won
15/38
15/38
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3.8/9.5
3.8/9.5
50%
50%
Won
39%
39%
7
7
Conceded
11
11
2.3
2.3
Avg Conceded
2.8
2.8
4
4
Broken
5
5
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
3
3
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shapovalov Nishioka
Match played 3 4
Tot Set 6 10
Tot Games 60 92
Pts 205-159 303-252
Total Points 364 555
Winners 79 133
%Winners 39% 44%

Shapovalov played 3 matches while Nishioka competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Yoshihito Nishioka surrendered 2 sets while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shapovalov has played 4 set(s) less than Nishioka (6 vs 10). Therefore, Shapovalov played 32 games less than Nishioka. Shapovalov scored 79 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Nishioka fired 133 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shapovalov Nishioka
Aces 16 9
Avg per match 5.3 2.3
1st in 105/161 188/261
%1st in 65% 72%
1st pts 79/105 133/188
%1st pts 75% 71%
2nd pts 35/56 47/73
%2nd pts 63% 64%

Shapovalov struck 16 aces (5.3 per match). Nishioka bagged 9 aces (2.3 per match). Shapovalov won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Nishioka won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shapovalov Nishioka
Won 12 15
Converted 12/24 15/38
% Converted 50% 39%
Conceded 7 11
Saved 3 6
% Saved 43% 55%
Times Broken 4 5

Shapovalov broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Canadian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. Yoshihito conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Shapovalov
R2
Munar Clar
1/4
Albot
1/2
Brooksby
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-2 6-2 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 22 16 22 60
pts 81-61 62-41 62-57 205-159
Total points 142 103 119 364
Winners 27 23 29 79
%Winners 33% 37% 47% 39%
SERVE
Aces 4 6 6 16
Double Faults 0 3 6 9
1st in 39/59 26/41 40/61 105/161
% 1st in 66% 63% 66% 65%
1st pts 27/39 23/26 29/40 79/105
% 1st pts 69% 88% 73% 75%
2nd pts 15/20 9/15 11/21 35/56
% 2nd pts 75% 60% 52% 63%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/9 4/10 4/5 12/24
Converted % 44% 40% 80% 50%
Conceded 4 0 3 7
Saved 2/4 0/0 1/3 3
Saved % 50% 33% 28%
Times Broken 2 0 2 4
Nishioka
R1
Evans
R2
Daniel
1/4
Ruud
1/2
Kovacevic
Total
Score 6-2 7-63 6-2 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 21 18 25 28 92
pts 78-65 56-45 83-72 86-70 303-252
Total points 143 101 155 156 555
Winners 30 29 34 40 133
%Winners 38% 52% 41% 47% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 0 3 3 9
Double Faults 1 0 0 2 3
1st in 43/64 37/51 53/73 55/73 188/261
% 1st in 67% 73% 73% 75% 72%
1st pts 30/43 29/37 34/53 40/55 133/188
% 1st pts 70% 78% 64% 73% 71%
2nd pts 12/21 8/14 15/20 12/18 47/73
% 2nd pts 57% 57% 75% 67% 64%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 4 15
Converted 4/14 3/5 4/9 4/10 15/38
Converted % 29% 60% 44% 40% 39%
Conceded 2 0 6 3 11
Saved 0/2 0/0 5/6 1/3 6
Saved % 0% 83% 33% 39%
Times Broken 2 0 1 2 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Shapovalov
WWWWWLWWLW
Nishioka
LLWLWWWLLW
2024 2023 2022
28 - 24
24 - 24
9-10
Hard
14-15
11-5
I Hard
1-0
5-6
Clay
4-7
3-3
Grass
5-2
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