Liudmila Samsonova and Ajla Tomljanovic will play each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 7:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.56
Ajla Tomljanovic -> 2.49
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
This will be the 3rd time that Liudmila Samsonova and Ajla Tomljanovic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Samsonova won 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in Washington back in August 2022.
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, the Russian got to the 4th round after beating Sara Bejlek 6-3 6-1, Leylah Annie Fernandez 6-3 7-63 and Aleksandra Krunic 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Krunic (6-3 6-3). During the match, Samsonova scored 66 points vs Krunic’s 47. Samsonova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Samsonova made 3 aces and she was very solid in conceding no double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 54% of her first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Krunic 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Samsonova has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 64% of her matches (227-125). 19-7 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has an overall66-36 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Washington where she defeated Kaia Kanepi in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3 and in in Cleveland where she overcame Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-1 6-3.
The Russian has a composed 23-14 win-loss record in 2022, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Ajla Tomljanovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-20 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 7-3 | 2-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-27 | 19-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 11-12 | 10-6 | 3-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 46, Ajla got to the 4th round after beating Karolina Muchova 6-3 7-65, Evgeniya Rodina 1-6 6-2 7-5 and Serena Williams 7-5 6-74 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Ajla defeated Williams (7-5 6-74 6-1). During the match Tomljanovic scored 123 points vs Williams’s 115. Ajla was quite aggressive to blast 52 winners.
About the serving games, Tomljanovic struck 3 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Ajla Tomljanovic lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Tomljanovic put 62% of her first serves in, winning 63% (52/82) of the points behind her 1st serve and 40% (20/50) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Williams 8 times after converting 62% of her break points (8/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tomljanovic has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Tomljanovic has an overall 31-20 win-loss record in 2022, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 81 |
| Pts | 216-157 | 305-278 |
| Total Points | 373 | 583 |
| Winners | 77 | 124 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Both Samsonova and Tomljanovic played 3 matches. At the moment, Ajla Tomljanovic conceded 2 sets while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Samsonova has played 2 set(s) less than Tomljanovic (6 vs 8). Therefore, Samsonova played 25 games less than Tomljanovic. The Russian scored 77 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian recorded 124 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 100/162 | 192/306 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 77/100 | 124/192 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 40/62 | 48/114 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 42% |
Samsonova managed to score 16 aces (5.3 per match). Tomljanovic scored 17 aces (5.7 per match). Samsonova won 77% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Tomljanovic won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 19 |
| Converted | 10/27 | 19/39 |
| % Converted | 37% | 49% |
| Conceded | 10 | 32 |
| Saved | 9 | 18 |
| % Saved | 90% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 14 |
Ludmilla broke her opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded. The Australian broke her opponents 19 times with a 49% conversion rate. The Australian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | |||||
| R1 Bejlek |
R2 Annie |
R3 Krunic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 7-63 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 18 | 56 | |
| pts | 63-42 | 87-68 | 66-47 | 216-157 | |
| Total points | 105 | 155 | 113 | 373 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 21 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 33% | 32% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 10 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 36/58 | 31/57 | 100/162 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 62% | 54% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/33 | 29/36 | 21/31 | 77/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 81% | 68% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 16/22 | 17/26 | 40/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 73% | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/13 | 4/6 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 15% | 67% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 83% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tomljanovic | |||||
| R1 Muchova |
R2 Rodina |
R3 Williams |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-65 | 1-6 6-2 7-5 | 7-5 6-74 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 27 | 32 | 81 | |
| pts | 76-65 | 106-98 | 123-115 | 305-278 | |
| Total points | 141 | 204 | 238 | 583 | |
| Winners | 30 | 42 | 52 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 9 | 3 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 41/69 | 69/105 | 82/132 | 192/306 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 42/69 | 52/82 | 124/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 61% | 63% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 13/36 | 20/50 | 48/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 36% | 40% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 7/19 | 8/13 | 19/39 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 37% | 62% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 15 | 13 | 32 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 8/15 | 8/13 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 53% | 62% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWW
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-76 6-0) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (5-7 6-3 7-610) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Aleksandra KrunicKrunic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Serena WilliamsWilliams (7-5 6-74 6-1) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Shelby RogersRogers (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Madison KeysKeys (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Alison RiskeRiske – Xiyu WangWang (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Rebecca MarinoMarino (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Dalma GalfiGalfi (6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (5-7 6-3 7-6(10)) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-7(6) 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Lauren DavisDavis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jule NiemeierNiemeier – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Belinda BencicBencic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Alison RiskeRiske (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
