Matteo Arnaldi and Cedrik-Marcel Stebe will face off in the semifinal of the Como Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.79
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Cedrik-Marcel Stebe since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 187, Matteo got to the semifinal after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-2 0-0 ret., Giovanni Oradini 2-6 7-5 6-2 and Nerman Fatic 7-5 2-6 7-64.
In the quarter, The Italian defeated Fatic (7-5 2-6 7-64). During the match, Arnaldi scored 115 points vs Fatic’s 112. Arnaldi was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Arnaldi scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 7 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (44/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (15/41) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Fatic 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 63% of his matches (123-71). 34-17 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an overall89-45 record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Francavilla Challenger and the San Marino Challenger.
The Italian has a compiled 37-24 win-loss record in 2022, 34-17 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Como Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-25 | 2-6 | 10-13 | 15-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-20 | 4-7 | 9-9 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2019 | 18-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 233, Cedrik-Marcel got to the semifinal after defeating Mirza Basic 6-4 6-0, Lucas Gerch 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Kenny de Schepper 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, The German had a good straight sets win against de Schepper (6-3 6-2). During the match Stebe scored 70 points vs de Schepper’s 51. Stebe was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Stebe scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Cedrik-Marcel Stebe was very efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The German broke de Schepper 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The German’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Forli 1 Challenger,the Forli 3 Challenger and the Lugano Challenger.
The German has a composed 25-22 win-loss record in 2022, 8-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Stebe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 60 |
| Pts | 240-222 | 235-180 |
| Total Points | 462 | 415 |
| Winners | 95 | 89 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Arnaldi and Stebe played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi lost 2 sets, while Cedrik-Marcel Stebe surrendered 1 set. Arnaldi has played 2 sets more than Stebe (9 vs 7). Therefore, Arnaldi played 9 games more than Stebe. Arnaldi scored 95 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Stebe bagged 89 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Stebe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 143/225 | 123/200 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 95/143 | 89/123 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 34/82 | 43/77 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 56% |
Arnaldi recorded 12 aces (4 per match). Stebe blasted 5 aces (1.7 per match). Arnaldi won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Stebe won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Stebe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/29 | 13/41 |
| % Converted | 48% | 32% |
| Conceded | 29 | 15 |
| Saved | 17 | 11 |
| % Saved | 59% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 4 |
Arnaldi broke his opponents 14 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve 12 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded. The German broke his opponents 13 times with a 32% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | |||||
| R1 Sachko |
R2 Oradini |
1/4 Fatic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 0-0 ret. | 2-6 7-5 6-2 | 7-5 2-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 8 | 28 | 33 | 69 | |
| pts | 32-19 | 93-91 | 115-112 | 240-222 | |
| Total points | 51 | 184 | 227 | 462 | |
| Winners | 12 | 39 | 44 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 15/26 | 59/89 | 69/110 | 143/225 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 63% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 12/15 | 39/59 | 44/69 | 95/143 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 66% | 64% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 12/30 | 15/41 | 34/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 40% | 37% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 6 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 6/11 | 6/15 | 14/29 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 55% | 40% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 | 15 | 29 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 7/12 | 8/15 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 58% | 53% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Stebe | |||||
| R1 Basic |
R2 Gerch |
1/4 de Schepper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-0 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 17 | 60 | |
| pts | 63-42 | 102-87 | 70-51 | 235-180 | |
| Total points | 105 | 189 | 121 | 415 | |
| Winners | 23 | 38 | 28 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 28/45 | 58/100 | 37/55 | 123/200 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 58% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/28 | 38/58 | 28/37 | 89/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 66% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/17 | 23/42 | 12/18 | 43/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 55% | 67% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/16 | 3/13 | 13/41 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 31% | 23% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 8/11 | 2/2 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 73% | 100% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLWWL
Tennis Scores in Como Challenger
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Nerman FaticFatic (7-5 2-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Lukas KleinKlein – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-74 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Lukas KleinKlein (0-0) – H2H and prediction
