Belinda Bencic and Karolina Pliskova will face off in the 3rd round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Grandstand. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Pliskova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Pliskova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Pliskova -> 1.92
Belinda Bencic -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Belinda Bencic vs. Karolina Pliskova
This will be the 2nd time that Belinda Bencic and Karolina Pliskova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bencic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bencic won 6-3 4-6 6-3 in the quarter in Indian Wells back in 2019.
Belinda Bencic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-7 | 18-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-13 | 24-10 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-18 | 13-9 | 13-4 | 10-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 22-9 | 5-5 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Bencic got to the 3rd round after beating Andrea Petkovic 6-2 4-6 6-4 and Sorana Cirstea 3-6 7-5 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Cirstea, Bencic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2). During the match, Bencic scored 102 points vs Cirstea’s 96. Belinda was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bencic fired 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Belinda Bencic lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Bencic put 64% of her first serves in, winning 74% (37/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Bencic broke Cirstea 5 times after converting 28% of her break points (5/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Swiss has surrendered 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
Bencic has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (330-177). 12-7 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Bencic has a composed 153-87 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Charleston where she beat Ons Jabeur in the final 6-1 5-7 6-4.
Bencic has a compiled 33-15 win-loss record in 2022, 12-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Karolina Pliskova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-16 | 10-10 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-19 | 19-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-21 | 12-9 | 6-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-19 | 23-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-8 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, the Czech reached the 3rd round after defeating Magda Linette 6-2 4-6 7-68 and Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Karolina had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-3 6-2). During the match Pliskova scored 60 points vs Bouzkova’s 39. Karolina was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Pliskova recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Karolina Pliskova conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Pliskova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 91% (30/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Pliskova broke Bouzkova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pliskova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Pliskova’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Strasbourg and Toronto.
Karolina has an aggregate 17-14 win-loss record in 2022, 8-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bencic | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 48 |
| Pts | 192-173 | 161-138 |
| Total Points | 365 | 299 |
| Winners | 81 | 71 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Both Bencic and Pliskova played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Belinda Bencic conceded 2 sets, while Karolina Pliskova lost 1 set. Bencic has played 1 set more than Pliskova (6 vs 5). Therefore, Bencic played 9 games more than Pliskova. Bencic scored 81 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Pliskova managed to score 71 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bencic | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 104/158 | 86/151 |
| %1st in | 66% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 81/104 | 71/86 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 25/54 | 29/65 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 45% |
Bencic recorded 14 aces (7 per match). Pliskova blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Bencic won 78% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Pliskova won 83% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bencic | Pliskova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/26 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 35% | 41% |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 38% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
The Swiss broke her opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Swiss dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded. Karolina broke her opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Pliskova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Bencic | ||||
| R1 Petkovic |
R2 Cirstea |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | 3-6 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 29 | 57 | |
| pts | 90-77 | 102-96 | 192-173 | |
| Total points | 167 | 198 | 365 | |
| Winners | 44 | 37 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 36% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 6 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 54/80 | 50/78 | 104/158 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 44/54 | 37/50 | 81/104 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 74% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 13/28 | 25/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 5/18 | 9/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 28% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 25% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Pliskova | ||||
| R1 Linette |
R2 Bouzkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 7-68 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 17 | 48 | |
| pts | 101-99 | 60-39 | 161-138 | |
| Total points | 200 | 99 | 299 | |
| Winners | 41 | 30 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 50% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 53/100 | 33/51 | 86/151 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 65% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 41/53 | 30/33 | 71/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 91% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/47 | 9/18 | 29/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/8 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 38% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 1/1 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 100% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLLWLWWWW
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