Jessica Pegula and Aliaksandra Sasnovich will square off in the 2nd round of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.45
Aliaksandra Sasnovich -> 2.75
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Aliaksandra Sasnovich
There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Aliaksandra Sasnovich since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Pegula got to the 2nd round after beating Viktorija Golubic 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Golubic (6-2 6-2). During the match, Pegula scored 57 points vs Golubic’s 31. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 19 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jessica Pegula was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (19/23) of her 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Pegula broke Golubic 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (255-161). 18-10 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has a composed 138-79 match record in the last years on hard.
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Madrid.
The American has an overall 32-16 win-loss record in 2022, 18-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-26 | 8-13 | 11-7 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-23 | 10-12 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-26 | 16-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-21 | 18-10 | 12-7 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-23 | 11-9 | 8-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Sasnovich reached the 2nd round after defeating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Cocciaretto (6-2 6-4). During the match Sasnovich scored 61 points vs Cocciaretto’s 49. The Belarussian was very aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Sasnovich recorded 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aliaksandra Sasnovich lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sasnovich put 53% of her first serves in, winning 71% (22/31) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Sasnovich broke Cocciaretto 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Sasnovich’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Melbourne and Cleveland.
Aliaksandra has a composed 34-17 win-loss record in 2022, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018 and 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 |
| Pts | 57-31 | 61-49 |
| Total Points | 88 | 110 |
| Winners | 19 | 22 |
| %Winners | 33% | 36% |
Both Pegula and Sasnovich played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Sasnovich have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pegula played 2 games less than Sasnovich. Jessica scored 19 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Aliaksandra bagged 22 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2 |
| 1st in | 23/42 | 31/59 |
| %1st in | 55% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 22/31 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 14/28 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 50% |
Pegula didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sasnovich fired 2 aces . Pegula won 83% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Sasnovich won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/8 |
| % Converted | 83% | 63% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Jessica broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Pegula dropped her serve once and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Sasnovich broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Sasnovich conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R1 Golubic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 57-31 | 57-31 | |
| Total points | 88 | 88 | |
| Winners | 19 | 19 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 23/42 | 23/42 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 19/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/19 | 11/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Sasnovich | |||
| R1 Cocciaretto |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 61-49 | 61-49 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/59 | 31/59 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 22/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 14/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWWL
LLLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Elizabeth MandlikMandlik (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Xiyu WangWang – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-6 7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Daria SnigurSnigur (6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shelby RogersRogers – Viktoria KuzmovaKuzmova (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alison RiskeRiske – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (6-4 6-75 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shuai ZhangZhang – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vishnu VardhanVardhan – Daniiar DuldaevDuldaev (2-6 7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Egor GerasimovGerasimov – Alexander LobkovLobkov (5-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Temur IsmailovIsmailov – Evgenii TiurnevTiurnev (6-1 6-75 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Djurabeck KarimovKarimov – Bogdan BobrovBobrov (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sanjar FayzievFayziev – Sergey BetovBetov (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dmitry PopkoPopko – Markos KalovelonisKalovelonis (6-74 6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Madison KeysMadison – Camila GiorgiCamila (6-4 5-7 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Dalma GalfiDalma – Harriet DartHarriet (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sloane StephensStephens (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jule NiemeierNiemeier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Petra KvitovaKvitova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Yue YuanYuan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Petra MarticMartic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Belinda BencicBencic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alize CornetCornet – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cristina BucsaBucsa – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kaia KanepiKanepi – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse – Cori GauffGauff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Caroline GarciaGarcia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dalma GalfiGalfi – Harriet DartDart (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandra KrunicKrunic – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Evgeniya RodinaRodina – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Serena WilliamsWilliams – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca MarinoMarino – Shuai ZhangZhang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Xiyu WangWang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Shelby RogersRogers (2-0) – H2H and prediction
