
Nuno Borges and Francesco Maestrelli will face off in the qualifications of the U.S. Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 9. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nuno Borges who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nuno Borges is the pick to win this match.
Nuno Borges -> 1.7
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Nuno Borges and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-33 | 17-14 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 105, Nuno reached the qualifications after beating Alex Rybakov 6-74 7-64 3-0 ret. and Govind Nanda 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Nuno had a good straight sets win against Nanda (6-4 6-4). During the match, Borges scored 64 points vs Nanda’s 55. Nuno was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Borges scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Borges put 65% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Borges broke Nanda 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Borges has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 73% of his matches (199-73). 4-3 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Borges has an overall93-27 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Portuguese’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Roseto Degli Abruzzi 1 Challenger and the Barletta Challenger.
Nuno has a compiled 35-18 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Nuno has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-29 | 9-7 | 28-18 | 9-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 202 (career-high), Francesco got to the qualifications after defeating Manuel Guinard 7-5 6-4 and Daniel Masur 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Masur (6-3 6-4). During the match Maestrelli scored 67 points vs Masur’s 53. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Maestrelli blasted 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (31/41) of his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francesco broke Masur twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Maestrelli’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula,the Francavilla Challenger and the Verona Challenger.
The Italian has an aggregate 41-16 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Borges | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 41 |
| Pts | 161-142 | 149-124 |
| Total Points | 303 | 273 |
| Winners | 64 | 66 |
| %Winners | 40% | 44% |
Both Borges and Maestrelli played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Nuno Borges lost 1 set while Francesco Maestrelli hasn’t conceded a set so far. Borges has played 2 sets more than Maestrelli (6 vs 4). Therefore, Borges played 8 games more than Maestrelli. The Portuguese scored 64 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli recorded 66 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Borges | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 93/148 | 85/147 |
| %1st in | 63% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 64/93 | 66/85 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 33/55 | 34/62 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 55% |
Borges made 10 aces (5 per match). Maestrelli scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Borges won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Borges | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 5/14 |
| % Converted | 42% | 36% |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Saved | 0 | 9 |
| % Saved | 0% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
The Portuguese broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Portuguese dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Maestrelli conceded his serve once and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded.
| Borges | ||||
| Q1 Rybakov |
Q2 Nanda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 7-64 3-0 ret. | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 20 | 49 | |
| pts | 97-87 | 64-55 | 161-142 | |
| Total points | 184 | 119 | 303 | |
| Winners | 40 | 24 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 56/91 | 37/57 | 93/148 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 40/56 | 24/37 | 64/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 65% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 13/20 | 33/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/12 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 33% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Maestrelli | ||||
| Q1 Guinard |
Q2 Masur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 19 | 41 | |
| pts | 82-71 | 67-53 | 149-124 | |
| Total points | 153 | 120 | 273 | |
| Winners | 35 | 31 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 44/77 | 41/70 | 85/147 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 35/44 | 31/41 | 66/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 18/29 | 34/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 62% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/6 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWWL
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