Pavel Kotov and Marco Cecchinato will play each other in the semifinal of the San Marino Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pavel Kotov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pavel Kotov is the pick to win this match.
Pavel Kotov -> 1.82
Marco Cecchinato -> 1.95
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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Marco Cecchinato
This will be the 2nd time that Pavel Kotov and Marco Cecchinato fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Cecchinato (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Cecchinato won 7-6(5) 6-3 in the quarter in the San Marino Challenger back in 2021.
Pavel Kotov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-21 | 9-11 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-32 | 13-14 | 20-12 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-20 | 5-3 | 20-9 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 5-5 | 7-11 | 17-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 130, Pavel reached the semifinal after defeating Viktor Durasovic 6-1 6-1, Maxime Janvier 6-4 6-3 and Alexander Weis 7-5 6-0.
In the quarter, Kotov had a good straight sets win against Weis (7-5 6-0). During the match, Kotov scored 61 points vs Weis’s 38. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kotov scored 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Pavel Kotov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (18/24) of his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Weis 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pavel hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.
Kotov has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (197-122). 18-9 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Kotov has an aggregate88-59 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Pavel’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Forli 3 Challenger.
Kotov has an aggregate 27-14 win-loss record in 2022, 18-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Marco Cecchinato
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-25 | 0-2 | 26-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-23 | 1-4 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-33 | 0-3 | 43-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-27 | 1-5 | 31-19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-17 | 1-4 | 22-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 142, Marco got to the semifinal after defeating Mattia Bellucci 6-2 6-1, Francesco Forti 6-73 7-66 6-2 and Valentin Vacherot 7-63 6-1.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Vacherot (7-63 6-1). During the match Cecchinato scored 77 points vs Vacherot’s 58. Marco was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Cecchinato blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marco Cecchinato was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (35/43) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Vacherot twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Cecchinato’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Parma Challenger and the Verona Challenger.
The Italian has an aggregate 22-23 win-loss record in 2022, 22-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Marino Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2013. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kotov | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 69 |
| Pts | 200-139 | 251-203 |
| Total Points | 339 | 454 |
| Winners | 64 | 110 |
| %Winners | 32% | 44% |
Both Kotov and Cecchinato played 3 matches. At the moment, Marco Cecchinato surrendered 1 set while Pavel Kotov hasn’t lost a set so far. Kotov has played 1 set(s) less than Cecchinato (6 vs 7). Therefore, Kotov played 18 games less than Cecchinato. Kotov scored 64 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Marco scored 110 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kotov | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 90/158 | 147/239 |
| %1st in | 57% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 64/90 | 110/147 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 44/68 | 57/92 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 62% |
Kotov bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Cecchinato made 10 aces (3.3 per match). Kotov won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Cecchinato won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kotov | Cecchinato |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 9 |
| Converted | 14/31 | 9/22 |
| % Converted | 45% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 18 |
| Saved | 9 | 17 |
| % Saved | 82% | 94% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Pavel dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Marco broke his opponents 9 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 94% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kotov | |||||
| R1 Durasovic |
R2 Janvier |
1/4 Weis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 19 | 18 | 51 | |
| pts | 66-41 | 73-60 | 61-38 | 200-139 | |
| Total points | 107 | 133 | 99 | 339 | |
| Winners | 21 | 25 | 18 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 34% | 30% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 38/73 | 24/42 | 90/158 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 52% | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 25/38 | 18/24 | 64/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 66% | 75% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 20/35 | 14/18 | 44/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 57% | 78% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 4/7 | 5/8 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 57% | 63% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 7/8 | 0/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 88% | 0% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cecchinato | |||||
| R1 Bellucci |
R2 Forti |
1/4 Vacherot |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-73 7-66 6-2 | 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 34 | 20 | 69 | |
| pts | 59-33 | 115-112 | 77-58 | 251-203 | |
| Total points | 92 | 227 | 135 | 454 | |
| Winners | 22 | 53 | 35 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 46% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 27/47 | 77/123 | 43/69 | 147/239 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 63% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 22/27 | 53/77 | 35/43 | 110/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 69% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 28/46 | 15/26 | 57/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 61% | 58% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/8 | 2/6 | 9/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 9/10 | 4/4 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 90% | 100% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLLLWW
LLWWWLWLLL Tennis Scores in San Marino Challenger
- Pavel KotovKotov – Alexander WeisWeis (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Valentin VacherotVacherot (7-63 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Pavel KotovKotov (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
