Jannik Sinner and Pablo Carreno-Busta will play each other in the 3rd round of the National Bank Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.44
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Pablo Carreno-Busta square off. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sinner won 5-7 7-5 7-5 in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2022.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Miami 27-March-2022
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 72-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 12-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Italian reached the 3rd round after defeating Adrian Mannarino 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Mannarino, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 75 points vs Mannarino’s 73. Jannik was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 53% of his first serves in, winning 79% (33/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Jannik was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Mannarino 3 times.
Sinner has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 69% of his matches (198-91). 15-3 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an aggregate64-31 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in in Umag where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 6-7(5) 6-1 6-1.
Jannik has an aggregate 36-9 win-loss record in 2022, 15-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-5 | 4-2 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Pablo reached the 3rd round after defeating Matteo Berrettini 6-3 6-2 and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-0 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Pablo had a good straight sets win against Vitus Nodskov Rune (6-0 6-3). During the match Carreno-Busta scored 55 points vs Vitus Nodskov Rune’s 28. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Carreno-Busta scored 4 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Pablo Carreno-Busta was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 67% (6/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pablo broke Vitus Nodskov Rune 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 63% of the points he played.
Carreno-Busta’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Barcelona.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 24-17 win-loss record in 2022, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Toronto
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 32 |
| Pts | 75-73 | 121-70 |
| Total Points | 148 | 191 |
| Winners | 33 | 48 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Sinner played 1 match while Carreno-Busta competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner dropped 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t conceded a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Carreno-Busta (3 vs 4). Therefore, Sinner played 6 games less than Carreno-Busta. Jannik scored 33 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Pablo managed to score 48 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 4 |
| 1st in | 42/79 | 62/85 |
| %1st in | 53% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 48/62 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 17/23 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 74% |
Sinner scored 13 aces . Carreno-Busta recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Sinner won 79% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Carreno-Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 8 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 100% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Sinner broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Carreno-Busta broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Sinner | |||
| R2 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 75-73 | 75-73 | |
| Total points | 148 | 148 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/79 | 42/79 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 33/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 18/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Carreno-Busta | ||||
| R1 Berrettini |
R2 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-0 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 32 | |
| pts | 66-42 | 55-28 | 121-70 | |
| Total points | 108 | 83 | 191 | |
| Winners | 25 | 23 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 33/47 | 29/38 | 62/85 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 76% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 23/29 | 48/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/14 | 6/9 | 17/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 67% | 74% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/9 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Montreal
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (5-7 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alex MolcanMolcan (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-72 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Maxime CressyCressy (7-610 7-66) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-74 7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (6-3 6-74 6-2) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-7(2) 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-6(6) 6-4) – See score progression
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Maxime CressyCressy (7-6(10) 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Daniel EvansEvans – Andrey RublevRublev (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (5-7 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gael MonfilsMonfils – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Tommy PaulPaul (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel EvansEvans – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-1) – H2H and prediction
