Emilio Nava and Michael Geerts will square off in the quarter of the Segovia Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 2:00 pm on PISTA 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.67
Michael Geerts -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Emilio Nava vs. Michael Geerts
This will be the 2nd time that Emilio Nava and Michael Geerts play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Geerts (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Geerts won 7-6(2) 7-6(3) in the quarter in the Pozoblanco Challenger back in 2021.
Emilio Nava
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-28 | 8-7 | 45-19 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-34 | 16-15 | 8-9 | 8-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-31 | 24-14 | 12-8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-27 | 15-15 | 14-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-16 | 9-6 | 27-7 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 214 (career-high), Emilio reached the quarter after defeating Paul Jubb 7-65 6-2 and Fernando Verdasco 7-68 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Emilio had a good straight sets win against Verdasco (7-68 7-5). During the match, Nava scored 88 points vs Verdasco’s 84. Emilio was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nava made 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Emilio Nava was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (33/45) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Emilio broke Verdasco 3 times after converting 18% of his break points (3/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nava hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Nava has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (102-58). 7-6 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Nava has a composed40-31 match record in the last 5 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Shymkent 1 Challenger.
Nava has a compiled 30-16 win-loss record in 2022, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Segovia Challenger
Nava has never competed in this tournament before.
Michael Geerts
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-34 | 27-15 | 10-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-37 | 18-11 | 10-12 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 13-7 | 14-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 253, the Belgian reached the quarter after defeating Dmitry Popko 6-4 6-4 and Denis Yevseyev 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Yevseyev (6-4 6-3). During the match Geerts scored 67 points vs Yevseyev’s 55. Michael was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Geerts recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Michael Geerts was very efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Geerts broke Yevseyev 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Geerts hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Michael’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.
Michael has an aggregate 33-22 win-loss record in 2022, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nava | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 39 |
| Pts | 161-144 | 138-117 |
| Total Points | 305 | 255 |
| Winners | 69 | 59 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Both Nava and Geerts played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nava and Geerts have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Nava played 7 games more than Geerts. Nava scored 69 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian managed to score 59 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nava | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 93/143 | 74/130 |
| %1st in | 65% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 69/93 | 59/74 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 29/50 | 27/56 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 48% |
Nava fired 13 aces (6.5 per match). Geerts recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Nava won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Geerts won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nava | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/22 | 6/16 |
| % Converted | 27% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The American broke his opponents 6 times with a 27% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Belgian broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Michael conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nava | ||||
| R1 Jubb |
R2 Verdasco |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-2 | 7-68 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 25 | 46 | |
| pts | 73-60 | 88-84 | 161-144 | |
| Total points | 133 | 172 | 305 | |
| Winners | 36 | 33 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 48/65 | 45/78 | 93/143 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 58% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 36/48 | 33/45 | 69/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 19/33 | 29/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/17 | 6/22 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 18% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 0/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 0% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Geerts | ||||
| R1 Popko |
R2 Yevseyev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 39 | |
| pts | 71-62 | 67-55 | 138-117 | |
| Total points | 133 | 122 | 255 | |
| Winners | 31 | 28 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 42% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 37/64 | 74/130 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 58% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 31/37 | 28/37 | 59/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 76% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | 15/27 | 27/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 56% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/7 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 43% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/4 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLWLW
WWWWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Segovia Challenger
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona/Inaki Montes-De La TorreAlvarez Varona/Inaki Montes-De La Torre – Luca Margaroli/Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMargaroli/Adrian Menendez-Maceiras (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Benjamin LockLock – Constant LestienneLestienne (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Michael GeertsGeerts – Emilio NavaNava (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
