Roman Safiullin and Denis Yevseyev will face off in the final of the Nur-Sultan Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roman Safiullin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roman Safiullin is the pick to win this match.
Roman Safiullin -> 1.132
Denis Yevseyev -> 5.9
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Prediction and head to head Roman Safiullin vs. Denis Yevseyev
This will be the 2nd time that Roman Safiullin and Denis Yevseyev square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Yevseyev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Yevseyev won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in the Astana Challenger back in 2018.
Roman Safiullin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-28 | 18-14 | 5-8 | 6-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 13-12 | 8-4 | 11-5 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-18 | 16-6 | 6-2 | 14-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-21 | 7-5 | 5-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-12 | 6-2 | 4-5 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 151, Roman got to the final after beating Seong Chan Hong 6-2 3-6 6-3, Alafia Ayeni 6-2 6-4, Benjamin Lock 6-2 6-3 and Dmitry Popko 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Popko (6-3 6-2). During the match, Safiullin scored 59 points vs Popko’s 37. Safiullin was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Safiullin recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Roman Safiullin was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Safiullin broke Popko 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roman has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Safiullin has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of his matches (319-152). 8-4 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Safiullin has an overall 192-64 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Safiullin’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Marseille,the Pau Challenger,the Troisdorf Challenger and the Sultan Challenger.
Safiullin has a composed 24-13 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the The Nur-Sultan Challenger
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-37 | 14-14 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-14 | 10-9 | 2-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 341, Denis reached the final after beating Alibek Kachmazov 6-3 3-6 6-4, Evgeny Karlovskiy 3-6 6-2 6-4, Gabriel Decamps 6-4 2-6 6-4 and Beibit Zhukayev 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, Denis had a good straight sets win against Zhukayev (6-4 6-4). During the match Yevseyev scored 67 points vs Zhukayev’s 55. Denis was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Yevseyev managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Denis Yevseyev was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Kazakhstani broke Zhukayev twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Denis has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Yevseyev’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Vilnius.
The Kazakhstani has a composed 28-17 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Safiullin | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 103 |
| Pts | 278-212 | 334-299 |
| Total Points | 490 | 633 |
| Winners | 118 | 128 |
| %Winners | 42% | 38% |
Both Safiullin and Yevseyev played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roman Safiullin dropped 1 set, while Denis Yevseyev surrendered 3 sets. Safiullin has played 2 set(s) less than Yevseyev (9 vs 11). Therefore, Safiullin played 25 games less than Yevseyev. The Russian scored 118 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani recorded 128 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Safiullin | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 154/246 | 168/320 |
| %1st in | 63% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 118/154 | 128/168 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 50/92 | 72/152 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 47% |
Safiullin fired 20 aces (5 per match). Yevseyev made 30 aces (7.5 per match). Safiullin won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Safiullin | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 17 |
| Converted | 16/29 | 17/36 |
| % Converted | 55% | 47% |
| Conceded | 23 | 20 |
| Saved | 19 | 7 |
| % Saved | 83% | 35% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 13 |
Safiullin broke his opponents 16 times with a 55% conversion rate. Roman conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 17 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 35% of the break points that he conceded.
| Safiullin | ||||||
| R1 Chan Hong |
R2 Ayeni |
1/4 Lock |
1/2 Popko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 78 | |
| pts | 85-71 | 68-54 | 66-50 | 59-37 | 278-212 | |
| Total points | 156 | 122 | 116 | 96 | 490 | |
| Winners | 32 | 33 | 27 | 26 | 118 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 49% | 41% | 44% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| 1st in | 49/78 | 44/70 | 30/56 | 31/42 | 154/246 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | 54% | 74% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 33/44 | 27/30 | 26/31 | 118/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 75% | 90% | 84% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/29 | 11/26 | 14/26 | 7/11 | 50/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 42% | 54% | 64% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/6 | 3/8 | 4/6 | 16/29 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 67% | 38% | 67% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 23 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 9/10 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 90% | 100% | – | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Yevseyev | ||||||
| R1 Kachmazov |
R2 Karlovskiy |
1/4 Decamps |
1/2 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 27 | 28 | 20 | 103 | |
| pts | 96-84 | 88-79 | 83-81 | 67-55 | 334-299 | |
| Total points | 180 | 167 | 164 | 122 | 633 | |
| Winners | 30 | 36 | 35 | 27 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 41% | 42% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 47/88 | 45/85 | 45/86 | 31/61 | 168/320 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | 52% | 51% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 30/47 | 36/45 | 35/45 | 27/31 | 128/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 80% | 78% | 87% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/41 | 17/40 | 20/41 | 18/30 | 72/152 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 43% | 49% | 60% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | |
| Converted | 8/13 | 4/11 | 3/5 | 2/7 | 17/36 | |
| Converted % | 62% | 36% | 60% | 29% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 20 | |
| Saved | 2/9 | 3/6 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 22% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 49% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
