Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex Molcan will face off in the 2nd round of the Hamburg European Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.61
Alex Molcan -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Alex Molcan
There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Alex Molcan since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-28 | 25-10 | 14-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-12 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 19-8 | 11-9 | 5-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-18 | 14-8 | 17-4 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, the Spaniard got to the 2nd round after beating Luca Nardi 6-2 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-2 6-1). During the match, Carreno-Busta scored 57 points vs Nardi’s 34. Carreno-Busta was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Carreno-Busta blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Pablo Carreno-Busta was pretty efficient on serve to win 91% (21/23) of his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pablo broke Nardi 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Carreno-Busta has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (391-219). 11-8 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Carreno-Busta has a composed 221-102 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Carreno-Busta’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Barcelona.
Pablo has an overall 22-16 win-loss record in 2022, 11-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Alex Molcan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-15 | 7-3 | 38-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 13-17 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-27 | 10-8 | 13-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-24 | 7-8 | 18-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 65-24 | 8-3 | 42-14 | 13-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48, the Slovakian got to the 2nd round after defeating Marko Topo 7-5 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Topo (7-5 6-3). During the match Molcan scored 68 points vs Topo’s 54. Molcan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Molcan scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex Molcan was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Molcan broke Topo 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Molcan’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Marrakech and Lyon.
Alex has an overall 22-16 win-loss record in 2022, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hamburg
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carreno-Busta | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 |
| Pts | 57-34 | 68-54 |
| Total Points | 91 | 122 |
| Winners | 21 | 32 |
| %Winners | 37% | 47% |
Both Carreno-Busta and Molcan played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Molcan have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Carreno-Busta played 6 games less than Molcan. Pablo scored 21 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Molcan fired 32 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carreno-Busta | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1 |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 38/53 |
| %1st in | 66% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 32/38 |
| %1st pts | 91% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 10/15 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 67% |
Carreno-Busta scored 4 aces . Molcan scored 1 ace . Carreno-Busta won 91% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Molcan won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carreno-Busta | Molcan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 71% | 38% |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Carreno-Busta broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Spaniard had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Slovakian broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Slovakian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Carreno-Busta | |||
| R1 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 57-34 | 57-34 | |
| Total points | 91 | 91 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 23/35 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 21/23 | 21/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 91% | 91% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Molcan | |||
| R1 Topo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 68-54 | 68-54 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/53 | 38/53 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 32/38 | 32/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 10/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWLW
LWLLWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Hamburg
- Borna CoricCoric – Laslo DjereDjere (1-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 4-6 7-66) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Luca NardiNardi (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Federico CoriaCoria (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicola KuhnKuhn (3-6 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-68 7-5) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-3 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (3-6 6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Lloyd Glasspool/Harri HeliovaaraGlasspool/Harri Heliovaara – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex MolcanMolcan – Marko TopoTopo (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-74 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jozef KovalikKovalik – Max Hans RehbergHans Rehberg (3-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Nicola KuhnKuhn (3-6 6-1 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic – Sebastian BaezBaez (6-1 4-6 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Aljaz BedeneBedene (6-3 3-6 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Luca NardiNardi (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Laslo DjereDjere (1-6 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (7-6(8) 7-5) – See score progression
- Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Federico CoriaCoria (7-6(4) 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Richard BerankisBerankis – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Jozef KovalikKovalik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Filip KrajinovicKrajinovic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
