Aidan Mchugh and Shintaro Mochizuki will face off in the qualifications of the Indianapolis Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mchugh who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aidan Mchugh is the pick to win this match.
Aidan Mchugh -> 1.74
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Aidan Mchugh vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
This will be the 2nd time that Aidan Mchugh and Shintaro Mochizuki play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Mchugh (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Mchugh won 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4 in the 1st round in the Cary Challenger back in 2021.
Aidan Mchugh
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-18 | 8-6 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 52-30 | 39-20 | 0-0 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-26 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 23-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-28 | 34-15 | 7-5 | 10-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 4-8 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 333, Mchugh got to the qualifications after beating Govind Nanda 7-65 7-63.
In the qualifications, Aidan had a good straight sets win against Nanda (7-65 7-63). During the match, Mchugh scored 89 points vs Nanda’s 83. The Brit was very aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mchugh recorded 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Aidan Mchugh was very effective on serve to win 78% (46/59) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Aidan broke Nanda once after converting 14% of his break points (1/7).
Mchugh has a solid match record in the last 6 years having won 61% of his matches (167-108). 12-6 on indoor hard courts in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mchugh has a compiled37-28 win-loss record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
The Brit’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Loughborough and M25 Glasgow.
The Brit has an aggregate 23-14 win-loss record in 2022, 12-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Indianapolis Challenger
Mchugh has never competed in this tournament before.
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-17 | 5-8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 348 (career-high), Mochizuki got to the qualifications after beating Strong Kirchheimer 7-65 6-2.
In the qualifications, Shintaro had a good straight sets win against Kirchheimer (7-65 6-2). During the match Mochizuki scored 69 points vs Kirchheimer’s 60. Mochizuki was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 60% of his first serves in, winning 80% (32/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki broke Kirchheimer 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Mochizuki has an overall 21-16 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mchugh | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 21 |
| Pts | 89-83 | 69-60 |
| Total Points | 172 | 129 |
| Winners | 46 | 32 |
| %Winners | 52% | 46% |
Both Mchugh and Mochizuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Mchugh and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Mchugh played 5 games more than Mochizuki. Mchugh scored 46 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 32 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mchugh | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 4 |
| 1st in | 59/83 | 40/67 |
| %1st in | 71% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 46/59 | 32/40 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 10/27 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 37% |
Mchugh blasted 8 aces . Mochizuki managed to score 4 aces . Mchugh won 78% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mchugh | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 4 |
| Converted | 1/7 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 14% | 67% |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 75% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Mchugh broke his opponent once with a 14% conversion rate. The Brit lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Mochizuki broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Mochizuki conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mchugh | |||
| Q1 Nanda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 89-83 | 89-83 | |
| Total points | 172 | 172 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 59/83 | 59/83 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 46/59 | 46/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/7 | 1/7 | |
| Converted % | 14% | 14% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Kirchheimer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 69-60 | 69-60 | |
| Total points | 129 | 129 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 40/67 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 32/40 | 32/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/27 | 10/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLWLLW
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