H2H, prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 9th July 2024

PREVIEW. London. Alcaraz and Paul will square off in the quarter of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Tuesday the 9th of July

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul will play each other in the quarter of Wimbledon for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on Court 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.27
Tommy Paul -> 3.92

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Tommy Paul

This will be the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul play each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Alcaraz and Paul (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Alcaraz won 7-6(6) 6-7(0) 6-3 in the 3rd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul – Cincinnati 17-August-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

30 - 6win/loss

Hard
13-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-3
Grass
5-1
Rank
3
High
1
WWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-6 13-2 12-3 0-0 6-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 3, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Mark Lajal 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2, Aleksandar Vukic 7-6(5) 6-2 6-2, Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2, Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5 and Tommy Paul .

In the 4th round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Humbert (6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5). During the match, Alcaraz scored 121 points vs Humbert’s 117. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 63 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz blasted 14 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 70% of his first serves in, winning 66% (63/95) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (17/40) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Humbert 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has dropped 3 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (263-69). 5-1 on grass in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed21-3 win-loss record in the last 7 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2.

Alcaraz has a compiled 30-6 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Alcaraz
Wimbledon
Alcaraz's Record

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul

31 - 10win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
4-0
Clay
7-3
Grass
10-1
Rank
13
High
12
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-11 10-6 7-3 4-0 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, Paul reached the quarter after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3, Otto Virtanen 4-6 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-4, Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the 4th round, Paul had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-2 7-63 6-2). During the match Paul scored 103 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 73. Paul was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Paul blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Tommy Paul was very effective on serve to win 80% (43/54) of his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Bautista-Agut 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paul has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Dallas where he defeated Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he defeated Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

Tommy has a composed 31-10 win-loss record in 2024, 10-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See his history.

Paul
Wimbledon
Paul's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
T.Paul
11h:01
11h:01
Time on court​
9h:02
9h:02
!
3h:00
3h:00
Last match​
!
2h:02
2h:02
4
4
Match played
4
4
151
151
Games Played​
143
143
15
15
Set played​​
15
15
485
485
Total points​
466
466
121.3
121.3
Avg point​
116.5
116.5
225
225
Winners
208
208
56.3
56.3
Avg Winners​
52
52
46%
46%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
45
45
Aces
39
39
!
11.3
11.3
Avg Aces
9.8
9.8
17
17
Double Faults
7
7
4.3
4.3
Avg Double Faults
1.8
1.8
225/306
225/306
1st won total​
208/258
208/258
!
74%
74%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
84/155
84/155
2nd won total​
87/147
87/147
54%
54%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
22/37
22/37
BP won
20/38
20/38
5.5/9.3
5.5/9.3
Avg BP won
5/9.5
5/9.5
!
59%
59%
Won
!
53%
53%
30
30
Conceded
20
20
7.5
7.5
Avg Conceded
5
5
12
12
Broken
6
6
3
3
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
18
18
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Paul
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 15 15
Tot Games 151 143
Pts 485-419 466-362
Total Points 904 828
Winners 225 208
%Winners 46% 45%

Both Alcaraz and Paul played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz lost 3 sets, while Tommy Paul surrendered 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Paul have played the same amount of sets 15. However, Alcaraz played 8 games more than Paul. Alcaraz scored 225 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Paul struck 208 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Paul
Aces 45 39
Avg per match 11.3 9.8
1st in 306/461 258/405
%1st in 66% 64%
1st pts 225/306 208/258
%1st pts 74% 81%
2nd pts 84/155 87/147
%2nd pts 54% 59%

Alcaraz made 45 aces (11.3 per match). Paul blasted 39 aces (9.8 per match). Alcaraz won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Paul won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Paul
Won 22 20
Converted 22/37 20/38
% Converted 59% 53%
Conceded 30 20
Saved 18 14
% Saved 60% 70%
Times Broken 12 6

Alcaraz broke his opponents 22 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Tommy broke his opponents 20 times with a 53% conversion rate. Paul conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R1
Lajal
R2
Vukic
R3
Tiafoe
R4
Humbert
Total
Score 7-63 7-5 6-2 7-65 6-2 6-2 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-62 6-2 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 3 5 4 15
Tot Games 33 29 51 38 151
pts 108-83 95-66 161-153 121-117 485-419
Total points 191 161 314 238 904
Winners 47 40 75 63 225
%Winners 44% 42% 47% 52% 46%
SERVE
Aces 4 11 16 14 45
Double Faults 4 2 5 6 17
1st in 56/89 49/74 106/163 95/135 306/461
% 1st in 63% 66% 65% 70% 66%
1st pts 47/56 40/49 75/106 63/95 225/306
% 1st pts 84% 82% 71% 66% 74%
2nd pts 18/33 14/25 35/57 17/40 84/155
% 2nd pts 55% 56% 61% 43% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 6 5 6 22
Converted 5/10 6/11 5/8 6/8 22/37
Converted % 50% 55% 63% 75% 59%
Conceded 4 3 10 13 30
Saved 2/4 1/3 7/10 8/13 18
Saved % 50% 33% 70% 62% 54%
Times Broken 2 2 3 5 12
Paul
R1
Martinez Portero
R2
Virtanen
R3
Bublik
R4
Bautista-Agut
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 4-6 6-3 4-6 6-3 5-7 7-5 6-4 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-2 7-63 6-2
Tot Set 4 5 3 3 15
Tot Games 34 53 27 29 143
pts 112-86 159-141 92-62 103-73 466-362
Total points 198 300 154 176 828
Winners 39 82 44 43 208
%Winners 35% 52% 48% 42% 45%
SERVE
Aces 10 9 9 11 39
Double Faults 0 2 3 2 7
1st in 48/91 104/151 52/75 54/88 258/405
% 1st in 53% 69% 69% 61% 64%
1st pts 39/48 82/104 44/52 43/54 208/258
% 1st pts 81% 79% 85% 80% 81%
2nd pts 25/43 27/47 14/23 21/34 87/147
% 2nd pts 58% 57% 61% 62% 59%
Breaks
Won 7 4 4 5 20
Converted 7/11 4/11 4/9 5/7 20/38
Converted % 64% 36% 44% 71% 53%
Conceded 4 11 1 4 20
Saved 2/4 8/11 1/1 3/4 14
Saved % 50% 73% 100% 75% 75%
Times Broken 2 3 0 1 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Alcaraz
WWWWWLWWWW
Paul
LWWWWWWWWW
2024 2023 2022
31 - 6
31 - 11
13-2
Hard
10-6
0-0
I Hard
4-0
12-3
Clay
7-3
6-1
Grass
10-2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw