Daniil Medvedev and Roberto Bautista Agut will face off in the quarter of the Mallorca Championships for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.32
Roberto Bautista Agut -> 3.65
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Roberto Bautista Agut
This will be the 5th time that Daniil Medvedev and Roberto Bautista Agut face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Bautista-Agut (see full H2H stats), but Medvedev leads 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Medvedev won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in Halle back in June 2022.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut – Halle 17-June-2022
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Medvedev got to the quarter after defeating Aslan Karatsev 4-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Karatsev, Daniil recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 95 points vs Karatsev’s 85. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 10 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 61% of his first serves in, winning 79% (45/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Karatsev 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Medvedev has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (406-170). 8-2 on grass in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an aggregate 43-18 match record in the last years on grass.
Medvedev’s best result of the current year was getting to the final at the Australian Open ,Hertogenbosch and Halle.
The Russian has an overall 27-9 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Mallorca
Roberto Bautista Agut
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-22 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-28 | 11-13 | 10-7 | 9-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-23 | 9-7 | 8-8 | 2-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-20 | 17-9 | 7-3 | 9-6 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 14-10 | 7-7 | 4-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Bautista-Agut reached the quarter after beating Taro Daniel 6-4 7-64 and Nick Kyrgios w/o.
In the 2nd round, Bautista-Agut defeated Kyrgios (w/o). During the match Bautista-Agut and Kyrgios scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 1 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Roberto was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Bautista-Agut wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Roberto Bautista Agut conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
His best result of the season was winning the title in in Doha where he defeated Nikoloz Basilashvili in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Spaniard has an overall 20-8 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Mallorca
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Bautista-Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 23 |
| Pts | 95-85 | 82-68 |
| Total Points | 180 | 150 |
| Winners | 45 | 38 |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% |
Both Medvedev and Bautista-Agut played 1 match. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set while Roberto Bautista Agut hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set more than Bautista-Agut (3 vs 2). Therefore, Medvedev played 4 games more than Bautista-Agut. Daniil scored 45 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Bautista-Agut made 38 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Bautista-Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 4 |
| 1st in | 57/93 | 49/70 |
| %1st in | 61% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 45/57 | 38/49 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 15/36 | 12/21 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 57% |
Medvedev struck 10 aces . Bautista-Agut struck 4 aces . Medvedev won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Bautista-Agut won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Bautista-Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/9 |
| % Converted | 43% | 22% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Russian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. Bautista-Agut conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Karatsev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 95-85 | 95-85 | |
| Total points | 180 | 180 | |
| Winners | 45 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 57/93 | 57/93 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 45/57 | 45/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/36 | 15/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Bautista-Agut | ||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Kyrgios |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | – | 23 | |
| pts | 82-68 | – | 82-68 | |
| Total points | 150 | – | 150 | |
| Winners | 38 | – | 38 | |
| %Winners | 46% | – | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 49/70 | – | 49/70 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | – | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 38/49 | – | 38/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | – | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/21 | – | 12/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | – | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | – | 2/9 | |
| Converted % | 22% | – | 22% | |
| Conceded | 6 | – | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | – | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | – | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
LLWLWWLLLW
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