Matteo Berrettini and Oscar Otte will play each other in the semifinal of the Mercedes Cup for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:30 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.35
Oscar Otte -> 3.44
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Oscar Otte
This will be the 3rd time that Matteo Berrettini and Oscar Otte fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Berrettini won 6-4 3-6 6-3 6-2 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Oscar Otte – U.S. Open 06-September-2021
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-6 | 5-3 | 4-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Berrettini got to the semifinal after beating Radu Albot 6-2 4-6 6-3 and Lorenzo Sonego 3-6 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Sonego, Berrettini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4).During the match, Berrettini scored less points (1) than Sonego. In fact, the world no. 10 won 89 points vs Sonego’s. That means that Berrettini was more focused during the important points. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 68% of his first serves in, winning 73% (47/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Sonego twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has surrendered 2 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Berrettini has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 67% of his matches (259-130). 2-0 on grass in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has an overall29-7 record in the last 9 years on grass.
The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .
The Italian has an aggregate 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Oscar Otte
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 15-24 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 26-31 | 7-9 | 7-6 | 5-13 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-20 | 14-3 | 17-12 | 8-3 | 4-1 | 5-1 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 1-2 | 13-4 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Oscar got to the semifinal after beating Daniel Altmaier 7-62 7-64, Denis Shapovalov 7-66 7-64 and Benjamin Bonzi w/o.
In the quarter, Otte defeated Bonzi (w/o). During the match Otte and Bonzi scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 10 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Oscar was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Otte was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Oscar Otte conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Otte hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The German’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Munich.
Oscar has an overall 16-15 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Otte |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 55 | 52 |
| Pts | 175-162 | 154-141 |
| Total Points | 337 | 295 |
| Winners | 95 | 86 |
| %Winners | 54% | 56% |
Both Berrettini and Otte played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini lost 2 sets while Oscar Otte hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Berrettini has played 2 sets more than Otte (6 vs 4). Therefore, Berrettini played 3 games more than Otte. The Italian scored 95 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Oscar struck 86 winners (56%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Otte |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 123/177 | 100/154 |
| %1st in | 69% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 95/123 | 86/100 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 26/54 | 34/54 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 63% |
Berrettini made 28 aces (14 per match). Otte struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Berrettini won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Otte won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Otte |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 1 |
| Converted | 5/16 | 1/2 |
| % Converted | 31% | 50% |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 82% | 88% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Berrettini surrendered his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Otte broke his opponents once with a 50% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.
| Berrettini | ||||
| R2 Albot |
1/4 Sonego |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 28 | 55 | |
| pts | 86-72 | 89-90 | 175-162 | |
| Total points | 158 | 179 | 337 | |
| Winners | 48 | 47 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 53% | 54% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 21 | 7 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 59/83 | 64/94 | 123/177 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 48/59 | 47/64 | 95/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 15/30 | 26/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 50% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/10 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 20% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 86% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Otte | |||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Shapovalov |
1/4 Bonzi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-64 | 7-66 7-64 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | – | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | – | 52 | |
| pts | 77-66 | 77-75 | – | 154-141 | |
| Total points | 143 | 152 | – | 295 | |
| Winners | 41 | 45 | – | 86 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 58% | – | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | – | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | – | 6 | |
| 1st in | 47/74 | 53/80 | – | 100/154 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 66% | – | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 41/47 | 45/53 | – | 86/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 85% | – | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/27 | 14/27 | – | 34/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 52% | – | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 0 | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Converted | 0/1 | 1/1 | – | 1/2 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | – | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 4/5 | – | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | – | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | – | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLW
LLWWLLLWLL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andy MurrayMurray – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Benjamin BonziBonzi (w/o) – See score progression
- Nick KyrgiosKyrgios – Marton FucsovicsFucsovics (7-63 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Tim Puetz/Michael VenusPuetz/Michael Venus – Benjamin Bonzi/Arthur RinderknechBonzi/Arthur Rinderknech (7-66 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Hubert Hurkacz/Mate PavicHurkacz/Mate Pavic – Petros Tsitsipas/Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas/Stefanos Tsitsipas (4-6 7-63 10-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andy MurrayMurray – Nick KyrgiosKyrgios (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Oscar OtteOtte – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-2) – H2H and prediction
