Aryna Sabalenka and Camila Giorgi will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 2:00 pm on Court SIMONNE-MATHIEU. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.285
Camila Giorgi -> 3.95
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Camila Giorgi
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Camila Giorgi fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Giorgi won 7-6(5) 0-6 6-4 in the quarter in Eastbourne back in 2021.
Highlights Camila Giorgi vs Aryna Sabalenka – Eastbourne 24-June-2021
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Belarussian reached the 3rd round after defeating Chloe Paquet 2-6 6-3 6-4 and Madison Brengle 6-1 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Brengle (6-1 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 65 points vs Brengle’s 45. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka fired 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 62% of her first serves in, winning 75% (24/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Brengle 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aryna has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 66% of her matches (245-129). 9-4 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has a compiled48-31 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Belarussian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Stuttgart.
Aryna has an overall 15-11 win-loss record in 2022, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Camila Giorgi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-18 | 14-9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 16-16 | 7-6 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-17 | 14-9 | 3-4 | 2-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-13 | 8-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Giorgi got to the 3rd round after defeating Shuai Zhang 3-6 6-2 6-2 and Yulia Putintseva 6-3 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Giorgi had a good straight sets win against Putintseva (6-3 7-5). During the match Giorgi scored 70 points vs Putintseva’s 54. Camila was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Giorgi couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Camila Giorgi was very efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of her 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Giorgi broke Putintseva 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Giorgi has an aggregate 6-7 win-loss record in 2022, 2-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Giorgi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 46 |
| Pts | 155-128 | 164-135 |
| Total Points | 283 | 299 |
| Winners | 66 | 67 |
| %Winners | 43% | 41% |
Both Sabalenka and Giorgi played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set, while Camila Giorgi dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Giorgi have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Sabalenka played 3 games less than Giorgi. Aryna scored 66 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 67 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Giorgi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 95/147 | 96/170 |
| %1st in | 65% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 66/95 | 67/96 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 24/52 | 32/74 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 43% |
Sabalenka made 8 aces (4 per match). Giorgi managed to score 4 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Giorgi won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Giorgi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 12/18 |
| % Converted | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded | 9 | 23 |
| Saved | 4 | 16 |
| % Saved | 44% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
Sabalenka broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. The Belarussian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 44% of the break points that she conceded. Giorgi broke her opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Giorgi conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | ||||
| R1 Paquet |
R2 Brengle |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 16 | 43 | |
| pts | 90-83 | 65-45 | 155-128 | |
| Total points | 173 | 110 | 283 | |
| Winners | 42 | 24 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 37% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 63/95 | 32/52 | 95/147 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 42/63 | 24/32 | 66/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 75% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 10/20 | 24/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 50% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/8 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 63% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Giorgi | ||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Putintseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 21 | 46 | |
| pts | 94-81 | 70-54 | 164-135 | |
| Total points | 175 | 124 | 299 | |
| Winners | 37 | 30 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 54/100 | 42/70 | 96/170 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 60% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 37/54 | 30/42 | 67/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/46 | 16/28 | 32/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 57% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 8 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 8/12 | 4/6 | 12/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 | 23 | |
| Saved | 12/17 | 4/6 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 67% | 69% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
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