Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Brengle will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the French Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on Court 14. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.16
Madison Brengle -> 5.55
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Madison Brengle
This will be the 3rd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Madison Brengle square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-7(5) 6-2 in the 1st round in Lexington back in 2020.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Brengle – Lexington 10-August-2020
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Aryna got to the 2nd round after defeating Chloe Paquet 2-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round against Paquet, Sabalenka recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 90 points vs Paquet’s 83. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka bagged 3 aces and she committed only 9 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 66% of her first serves in, winning 67% (42/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (14/32) on the 2nd serve. Aryna broke Paquet 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 65% of her matches (244-129). 8-4 on clay in 2022. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall47-31 record in the last 7 years on clay.
Aryna’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Stuttgart.
Sabalenka has an overall 14-11 win-loss record in 2022, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Madison Brengle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-15 | 16-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-26 | 16-15 | 4-3 | 3-3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-26 | 30-14 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-25 | 18-13 | 8-7 | 7-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 57, Brengle got to the 2nd round after defeating Mihaela Buzarnescu 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Buzarnescu (6-1 6-2). During the match Brengle scored 67 points vs Buzarnescu’s 46. Madison was exceptionally aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Brengle wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Brengle lost the serve once. Furthermore, Brengle put 76% of her first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Buzarnescu 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
The American has a composed 14-12 win-loss record in 2022, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the French Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 15 |
| Pts | 90-83 | 67-46 |
| Total Points | 173 | 113 |
| Winners | 42 | 22 |
| %Winners | 47% | 33% |
Both Sabalenka and Brengle played 1 match. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set while Madison Brengle hasn’t lost a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Brengle (3 vs 2). Therefore, Sabalenka played 12 games more than Brengle. The Belarussian scored 42 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Madison fired 22 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 63/95 | 32/42 |
| %1st in | 66% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 42/63 | 22/32 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 6/12 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Sabalenka made 3 aces . Brengle didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Sabalenka won 67% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Brengle won 69% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Brengle |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 33% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Aryna dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve once and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R1 Paquet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 90-83 | 90-83 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 42 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 63/95 | 63/95 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 42/63 | 42/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/32 | 14/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Brengle | |||
| R1 Buzarnescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 67-46 | 67-46 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/42 | 32/42 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 22/32 | 22/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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