Emilio Nava and Sebastian Fanselow will face off in the final of the Shymkent 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.24
Sebastian Fanselow -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Emilio Nava vs. Sebastian Fanselow
There is no head to head record between Emilio Nava and Sebastian Fanselow since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Emilio Nava
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-29 | 15-14 | 8-8 | 4-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-31 | 24-14 | 12-8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-27 | 15-15 | 14-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-16 | 9-6 | 27-7 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 10-7 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 358, Nava reached the final after defeating Tennys Sandgren 6-3 6-4, Evan Zhu 6-4 6-4, Viktor Durasovic 6-1 6-2 and Ulises Blanch 6-3 6-2.
In the semifinal, Emilio had a good straight sets win against Blanch (6-3 6-2). During the match, Nava scored 66 points vs Blanch’s 44. Nava was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nava scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Emilio Nava was quite effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 88% (14/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nava broke Blanch 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Emilio hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Nava has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 64% of his matches (92-52). 9-3 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nava has an overall44-17 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
The American’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Shymkent 1 Challenger.
Emilio has a composed 20-10 win-loss record in 2022, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shymkent 1 Challenger
Emilio has never competed in this tournament before.
Sebastian Fanselow
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-31 | 7-9 | 10-16 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-31 | 24-9 | 20-15 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 5-11 | 17-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 17-13 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-15 | 34-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 397, the German got to the final after beating Dostanbek Tashbulatov 7-64 4-6 6-4, Bogdan Ionut Apostol 6-3 2-1 ret., Filip Cristian Jianu 6-3 7-5, Antoine Bellier 3-6 6-1 6-2, Dragos Nicolae Madaras 6-4 7-65 and Ergi Kirkin 7-64 6-4.
In the semifinal, Fanselow had a good straight sets win against Kirkin (7-64 6-4). During the match Fanselow scored 71 points vs Kirkin’s 64. Fanselow was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Fanselow scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Fanselow was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (38/46) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The German broke Kirkin once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Fanselow’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Shymkent 1 Challenger.
Sebastian has an aggregate 16-12 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nava | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 136 |
| Pts | 256-189 | 478-409 |
| Total Points | 445 | 887 |
| Winners | 102 | 192 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Nava played 4 matches while Fanselow competed in 6 matches. Fanselow started his run from the qualifications while Nava had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Sebastian Fanselow surrendered 2 sets while Emilio Nava hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Nava has played 7 set(s) less than Fanselow (8 vs 15). Therefore, Nava played 65 games less than Fanselow. The American scored 102 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Fanselow scored 192 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nava | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 128/191 | 252/441 |
| %1st in | 67% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 102/128 | 192/252 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 39/63 | 101/189 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 53% |
Nava bagged 12 aces (3 per match). Fanselow blasted 18 aces (3 per match). Nava won 80% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Fanselow won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nava | Fanselow |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 18 |
| Converted | 14/31 | 18/47 |
| % Converted | 45% | 38% |
| Conceded | 6 | 28 |
| Saved | 4 | 19 |
| % Saved | 67% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
Nava broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponents 18 times with a 38% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nava | ||||||
| R1 Sandgren |
R2 Zhu |
1/4 Durasovic |
1/2 Blanch |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 15 | 17 | 71 | |
| pts | 67-54 | 62-53 | 61-38 | 66-44 | 256-189 | |
| Total points | 121 | 115 | 99 | 110 | 445 | |
| Winners | 26 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 43% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 38/54 | 31/48 | 27/43 | 128/191 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | 65% | 63% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 27/38 | 26/31 | 23/27 | 102/128 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 71% | 84% | 85% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 11/16 | 8/17 | 14/16 | 39/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 69% | 47% | 88% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/6 | 4/5 | 3/10 | 14/31 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 50% | 80% | 30% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 100% | – | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fanselow | ||||||||
| Q1 Tashbulatov |
Q3 Ionut Apostol |
R1 Cristian |
R2 Bellier |
1/4 Nicolae |
1/2 Kirkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 6-4 | 6-3 2-1 ret. | 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 7-65 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 12 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 136 | |
| pts | 122-120 | 46-32 | 72-63 | 80-56 | 87-74 | 71-64 | 478-409 | |
| Total points | 242 | 78 | 135 | 136 | 161 | 135 | 887 | |
| Winners | 45 | 13 | 35 | 32 | 29 | 38 | 192 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 28% | 49% | 40% | 33% | 54% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 63/119 | 14/32 | 48/76 | 40/64 | 41/81 | 46/69 | 252/441 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 44% | 63% | 63% | 51% | 67% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 45/63 | 13/14 | 35/48 | 32/40 | 29/41 | 38/46 | 192/252 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 93% | 73% | 80% | 71% | 83% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 29/56 | 12/18 | 11/28 | 16/24 | 21/40 | 12/23 | 101/189 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 67% | 39% | 67% | 53% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/15 | 2/5 | 4/7 | 4/5 | 4/12 | 1/3 | 18/47 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 40% | 57% | 80% | 33% | 33% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 28 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 0/0 | 6/8 | 1/2 | 4/7 | 0/0 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 73% | – | 75% | 50% | 57% | – | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emilio NavaNava – Sebastian FanselowFanselow (0-0) – H2H and prediction
