Sebastian Baez and Emil Ruusuvuori will face off in the qualifications of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.36
Emil Ruusuvuori -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Emil Ruusuvuori
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Emil Ruusuvuori clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Ruusuvuori (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Ruusuvuori won 7-6(2) 6-1 in the 1st round in Melbourne back in January 2022.
Highlights Emil Ruusuvuori vs Sebastian Baez – Melbourne 05-January-2022
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40 (career-high), the Argentine reached the qualifications after defeating Soon-Woo Kwon 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Kwon (6-4 6-4). During the match, Baez scored 63 points vs Kwon’s 57. Baez was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 66% of his first serves in, winning 68% (28/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Kwon 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Baez has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (175-75). 18-6 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has an aggregate155-59 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Estoril where he beat Frances Tiafoe in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Argentine has an overall 23-13 win-loss record in 2022, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Emil Ruusuvuori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-16 | 8-6 | 2-5 | 4-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-30 | 13-11 | 6-7 | 9-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 15-12 | 10-9 | 10-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-26 | 21-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 59 (career-high), the Finn got to the qualifications after defeating Giovanni Fonio 6-4 6-77 6-3.
In the qualifications, The Finn defeated Fonio (6-4 6-77 6-3). During the match Ruusuvuori scored 111 points vs Fonio’s 94. The Finn was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruusuvuori scored 4 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Emil Ruusuvuori lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ruusuvuori put 66% of his first serves in, winning 73% (44/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Finn broke Fonio 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
The Finn’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Pune.
The Finn has a composed 20-11 win-loss record in 2022, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 32 |
| Pts | 63-57 | 111-94 |
| Total Points | 120 | 205 |
| Winners | 28 | 44 |
| %Winners | 44% | 40% |
Both Baez and Ruusuvuori played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Emil Ruusuvuori dropped 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Baez has played 1 set(s) less than Ruusuvuori (2 vs 3). Therefore, Baez played 12 games less than Ruusuvuori. Sebastian scored 28 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Ruusuvuori recorded 44 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 4 |
| 1st in | 41/62 | 60/91 |
| %1st in | 66% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 44/60 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 15/31 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 48% |
Baez didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Ruusuvuori fired 4 aces . Baez won 68% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Ruusuvuori won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Ruusuvuori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 30% | 55% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Baez broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Argentine dropped his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Ruusuvuori broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Ruusuvuori conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | |||
| Q1 Kwon |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 63-57 | 63-57 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 41/62 | 41/62 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 28/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Ruusuvuori | |||
| Q1 Fonio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-77 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 111-94 | 111-94 | |
| Total points | 205 | 205 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 60/91 | 60/91 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 44/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 15/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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