
Dayana Yastremska and Harmony Tan will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dayana Yastremska who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Dayana Yastremska is the pick to win this match.
Dayana Yastremska -> 1.28
Harmony Tan -> 3.68
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Prediction and head to head Dayana Yastremska vs. Harmony Tan
There is no head to head record between Dayana Yastremska and Harmony Tan since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Dayana Yastremska
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-22 | 12-13 | 8-5 | 4-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 22-22 | 12-12 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-29 | 19-13 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-25 | 7-11 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-12 | 3-8 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 92, Dayana got to the qualifications after defeating Madison Brengle 2-6 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications against Brengle, The Ukrainian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Yastremska scored 92 points vs Brengle’s 89. Dayana was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Yastremska scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Dayana Yastremska lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Yastremska put 67% of her first serves in, winning 58% (34/59) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. The Ukrainian broke Brengle 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Yastremska has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 62% of her matches (164-101). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Yastremska has a compiled59-28 record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Ukrainian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Lyon.
Dayana has an overall 15-9 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Harmony Tan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 54-29 | 31-16 | 2-3 | 19-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-24 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 8-6 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-26 | 21-13 | 2-5 | 10-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-32 | 14-15 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 15-7 | 12-8 | 10-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, Tan got to the qualifications after defeating Lauren Davis 6-4 1-6 7-65.
In the qualifications, The French player defeated Davis (6-4 1-6 7-65).During the match Tan scored less points (6) than Davis. In fact, the world no. 92 won 93 points vs Davis’s. That means that Tan was more focused during the important points. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Tan recorded 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Harmony Tan lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Tan put 52% of her first serves in, winning 60% (32/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (24/48) on the 2nd serve. Tan broke Davis 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
The French player has an overall 9-9 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Yastremska | Tan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 30 |
| Pts | 92-89 | 93-99 |
| Total Points | 181 | 192 |
| Winners | 34 | 32 |
| %Winners | 37% | 34% |
Both Yastremska and Tan played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Dayana Yastremska surrendered 1 set, while Harmony Tan lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Yastremska and Tan have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Yastremska played 4 games less than Tan. The Ukrainian scored 34 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Harmony bagged 32 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Yastremska | Tan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 59/88 | 53/101 |
| %1st in | 67% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 34/59 | 32/53 |
| %1st pts | 58% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 24/48 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 50% |
Yastremska struck 1 ace . Tan also fired 2 aces . Yastremska won 58% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Tan won 60% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Yastremska | Tan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 5 |
| % Saved | 33% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Ukrainian broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Ukrainian surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. Harmony broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Harmony conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 45% of the break points that she conceded.
| Yastremska | |||
| Q1 Brengle |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 92-89 | 92-89 | |
| Total points | 181 | 181 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 59/88 | 59/88 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 34/59 | 34/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/29 | 16/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Tan | |||
| Q1 Davis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 93-99 | 93-99 | |
| Total points | 192 | 192 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 53/101 | 53/101 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 32/53 | 32/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/48 | 24/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/11 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 45% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLWLWW
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