Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka will fight against each other in the final of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.55
Aryna Sabalenka -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Aryna Sabalenka
This will be the 3rd time that Iga Swiatek and Aryna Sabalenka clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Swiatek and Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 6-2 6-3 in the quarter in Doha back in February 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka – Doha 24-February-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Iga got to the final after beating Eva Lys 6-1 6-1, Emma Raducanu 6-4 6-4 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-74 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal against Samsonova, Iga recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-4 7-5). During the match, Swiatek scored 130 points vs Samsonova’s 120. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 52 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek struck 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 71% of her first serves in, winning 65% (52/80) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (19/32) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Samsonova 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 78% of her matches (181-50). 3-0 on clay in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a compiled77-13 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Doha where she defeated Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she beat Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1 and in in Miami where she beat Naomi Osaka in the final 6-4 6-0.
Iga has a composed 31-3 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Swiatek has never competed in this tournament before.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Aryna reached the final after beating Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 6-1 3-6 6-2, Anett Kontaveit 6-4 3-6 6-1 and Paula Badosa Gibert 7-65 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Badosa (7-65 6-4). During the match Sabalenka scored 77 points vs Badosa’s 67. Aryna was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Sabalenka recorded 9 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (30/39) of her 1st serve and 54% (19/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. The Belarussian broke Badosa 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
The Belarussian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Stuttgart.
The Belarussian has a composed 10-8 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 69 | 73 |
| Pts | 258-208 | 249-207 |
| Total Points | 466 | 456 |
| Winners | 96 | 103 |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% |
Both Swiatek and Sabalenka played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek lost 1 set, while Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 2 sets. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Sabalenka (7 vs 8). Therefore, Swiatek played 4 games less than Sabalenka. The Pole scored 96 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Sabalenka made 103 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 8 |
| 1st in | 144/210 | 139/217 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 96/144 | 103/139 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 43/66 | 40/78 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 51% |
Swiatek recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Sabalenka struck 24 aces (8 per match). Swiatek won 67% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Sabalenka won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/28 | 13/24 |
| % Converted | 50% | 54% |
| Conceded | 14 | 21 |
| Saved | 9 | 14 |
| % Saved | 64% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 7 |
Swiatek broke her opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. Iga lost her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Aryna broke her opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Lys |
1/4 Raducanu |
1/2 Samsonova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-74 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 20 | 35 | 69 | |
| pts | 61-34 | 67-54 | 130-120 | 258-208 | |
| Total points | 95 | 121 | 250 | 466 | |
| Winners | 18 | 26 | 52 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 39% | 40% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 27/41 | 37/57 | 80/112 | 144/210 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 65% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 18/27 | 26/37 | 52/80 | 96/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 70% | 65% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 14/20 | 19/32 | 43/66 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 70% | 59% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 3/4 | 5/15 | 14/28 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 75% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 4/5 | 5/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 80% | 63% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Andreescu |
1/4 Kontaveit |
1/2 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 6-1 | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 26 | 23 | 73 | |
| pts | 87-68 | 85-72 | 77-67 | 249-207 | |
| Total points | 155 | 157 | 144 | 456 | |
| Winners | 33 | 40 | 30 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% | 39% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 47/72 | 53/71 | 39/74 | 139/217 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 75% | 53% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 40/53 | 30/39 | 103/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 75% | 77% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 7/18 | 19/35 | 40/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 39% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/10 | 3/6 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4/7 | 6/8 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 57% | 75% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWLWLWWW
LLWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- John IsnerIsner – Ryan HarrisonHarrison (7-66 7-67) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
