Andrey Rublev and Fabio Fognini will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Serbia Open for the 10th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.4
Fabio Fognini -> 3.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Fabio Fognini
This will be the 10th time that Andrey Rublev and Fabio Fognini fight against each other. The head to head is 5-4 for Fognini (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rublev won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 2nd round in Toronto back in 2021.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Fabio Fognini – Toronto 11-August-2021
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Jiri Lehecka 4-6 7-61 6-2 and Taro Daniel 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Daniel (6-3 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 65 points vs Daniel’s 42. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev made 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev was quite efficient on serve to win 79% (26/33) of his 1st serve and 79% (11/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Andrey broke Daniel 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (349-195). 3-1 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an overall 84-55 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Marseille where he overcame Felix Auger Aliassime in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in in Dubai where he overcame Jiri Vesely in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Russian has a composed 21-5 win-loss record in 2022, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Belgrade
Rublev has never competed in this tournament before.
Fabio Fognini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-28 | 7-10 | 18-12 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, Fabio reached the semifinal after beating Marco Cecchinato 6-75 6-2 6-2, Aljaz Bedene 6-2 6-3 and Oscar Otte 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter, Fognini had a good straight sets win against Otte (7-5 6-4). During the match Fognini scored 83 points vs Otte’s 74. Fabio was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Fognini struck 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Fabio Fognini lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 65% of his first serves in, winning 64% (28/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Otte 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Fognini’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Rio de Janeiro.
The Italian has a composed 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 68 |
| Pts | 169-133 | 273-227 |
| Total Points | 302 | 500 |
| Winners | 67 | 92 |
| %Winners | 40% | 34% |
Rublev played 2 matches while Fognini competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 1 set, while Fabio Fognini dropped 1 set. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Fognini (5 vs 7). Therefore, Rublev played 19 games less than Fognini. The Russian scored 67 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Fabio fired 92 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 83/141 | 142/237 |
| %1st in | 59% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 67/83 | 92/142 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 36/58 | 54/95 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 57% |
Rublev bagged 10 aces (5 per match). Fognini recorded 5 aces (1.7 per match). Rublev won 81% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Fognini won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 16 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 16/45 |
| % Converted | 42% | 36% |
| Conceded | 5 | 24 |
| Saved | 4 | 17 |
| % Saved | 80% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Russian broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 16 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R2 Lehecka |
1/4 Daniel |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-61 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 18 | 49 | |
| pts | 104-91 | 65-42 | 169-133 | |
| Total points | 195 | 107 | 302 | |
| Winners | 41 | 26 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 50/94 | 33/47 | 83/141 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 70% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/50 | 26/33 | 67/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 79% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/44 | 11/14 | 36/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 79% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/7 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 1/1 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fognini | |||||
| R1 Cecchinato |
R2 Bedene |
1/4 Otte |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 17 | 22 | 68 | |
| pts | 124-106 | 66-47 | 83-74 | 273-227 | |
| Total points | 230 | 113 | 157 | 500 | |
| Winners | 43 | 21 | 28 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 66/114 | 32/55 | 44/68 | 142/237 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 43/66 | 21/32 | 28/44 | 92/142 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 66% | 64% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/48 | 13/23 | 16/24 | 54/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 57% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 7/21 | 5/13 | 4/11 | 16/45 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 | 4 | 24 | |
| Saved | 11/14 | 4/6 | 2/4 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 67% | 50% | 98% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLW
LLWWLLLWWL Tennis Scores in Belgrade
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Oscar OtteOtte (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Taro DanielDaniel (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Nikola Mektic/Mate PavicMektic/Mate Pavic – Ivan Sabanov/Matej SabanovSabanov/Matej Sabanov (2-6 6-3 10-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ariel Behar/Gonzalo EscobarBehar/Gonzalo Escobar – Simone Bolelli/Fabio FogniniBolelli/Fabio Fognini (7-65 7-64) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Andrey RublevRublev (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (5-1) – H2H and prediction
