Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on PISTA RAFA NADAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.169
Alex De Minaur -> 5.7
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex De Minaur
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex De Minaur since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the semifinal after beating Soon-Woo Kwon 6-1 2-6 6-2, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-3 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 5-7 6-2.
In the quarter, Alcaraz defeated Tsitsipas (6-4 5-7 6-2). During the match, Alcaraz scored 94 points vs Tsitsipas’s 76. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace during the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was quite effective on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Spaniard broke Tsitsipas 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 76% of his matches (132-41). 9-1 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an overall81-25 match record in the last 5 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Rio de Janeiro where he beat Diego Sebastian Schwartzman in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Miami where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-5 6-4.
The Spaniard has an aggregate 21-3 win-loss record in 2022, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, De Minaur reached the semifinal after beating Ugo Humbert 6-3 4-6 6-3, Lloyd Harris 6-0 0-0 ret. and Cameron Norrie 6-3 5-7 6-1.
In the quarter, De Minaur defeated Norrie (6-3 5-7 6-1). During the match De Minaur scored 99 points vs Norrie’s 86. Alex was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur fired 3 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alex De Minaur lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 68% of his first serves in, winning 59% (33/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the 2nd serve. De Minaur broke Norrie 7 times after converting 35% of his break points (7/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Australian has a compiled 16-7 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Barcelona
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 62 |
| Pts | 228-167 | 215-179 |
| Total Points | 395 | 394 |
| Winners | 95 | 73 |
| %Winners | 42% | 34% |
Both Alcaraz and De Minaur played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 2 sets, while Alex De Minaur conceded 2 sets. Alcaraz has played 1 set(s) less than De Minaur (8 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Alcaraz played 9 games more than De Minaur. Carlos scored 95 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, De Minaur fired 73 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 125/194 | 123/186 |
| %1st in | 64% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 95/125 | 73/123 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 42/69 | 36/63 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 57% |
Alcaraz managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). De Minaur scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Alcaraz won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 59% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/18 | 17/31 |
| % Converted | 72% | 55% |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 54% | 31% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 9 |
Alcaraz broke his opponents 13 times with a 72% conversion rate. Carlos conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. De Minaur broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 31% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||||
| R2 Kwon |
R3 Munar Clar |
1/4 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 2-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 18 | 30 | 71 | |
| pts | 72-53 | 62-38 | 94-76 | 228-167 | |
| Total points | 125 | 100 | 170 | 395 | |
| Winners | 31 | 21 | 43 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/67 | 27/44 | 60/83 | 125/194 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 61% | 72% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 21/27 | 43/60 | 95/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 78% | 72% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/29 | 15/17 | 14/23 | 42/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 88% | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/4 | 5/7 | 13/18 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 75% | 71% | 72% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 0/0 | 3/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 57% | – | 50% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| De Minaur | |||||
| R2 Humbert |
R3 Lloyd |
1/4 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-0 0-0 ret. | 6-3 5-7 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 6 | 28 | 62 | |
| pts | 91-85 | 25-8 | 99-86 | 215-179 | |
| Total points | 176 | 33 | 185 | 394 | |
| Winners | 32 | 8 | 33 | 73 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 32% | 33% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 56/88 | 11/16 | 56/82 | 123/186 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 69% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 32/56 | 8/11 | 33/56 | 73/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 73% | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/32 | 4/5 | 16/26 | 36/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 80% | 62% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/8 | 3/3 | 7/20 | 17/31 | |
| Converted % | 88% | 100% | 35% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/6 | 0/0 | 3/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 17% | – | 43% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLLWLWWW
LLLLLLWWWL Tennis Scores in Barcelona
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta – Casper RuudRuud (4-6 7-68 6-3) – See score progression
- Kevin Krawietz/Andreas MiesKrawietz/Andreas Mies – Juan-Sebastian Cabal/Robert FarahCabal/Robert Farah (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-3 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Pablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
