Roberto Carballes Baena and Lucas Pouille will fight against each other in the quarter of the Madrid Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.44
Lucas Pouille -> 2.62
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Lucas Pouille
This will be the 4th time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Lucas Pouille fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Pouille (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Pouille won 6-2 3-6 6-1 in the semifinal in the Meknes Challenger back in 2014.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-11 | 4-5 | 8-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-18 | 3-4 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 78, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Dmitry Popko 7-64 6-1 and Pavel Kotov 5-7 7-65 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Kotov, Carballes Baena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-65 6-2). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 106 points vs Kotov’s 96. Roberto was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Carballes Baena blasted 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve 5 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 63% of his first serves in, winning 75% (44/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (14/34) on the 2nd serve. Carballes Baena broke Kotov 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roberto has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Carballes Baena has a good record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (390-279). 13-7 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Carballes Baena has an aggregate 342-217 match record in the last years on clay.
Carballes Baena’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Gran Canaria Challenger.
Carballes Baena has a composed 14-13 win-loss record in 2022, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Lucas Pouille
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-11 | 9-2 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 16-10 | 3-2 | 7-5 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-24 | 7-3 | 2-7 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 138, the French player reached the quarter after defeating Maximilian Marterer 6-0 7-64 and Oriol Roca Batalla 6-2 4-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Pouille defeated Roca Batalla (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match Pouille scored 93 points vs Roca Batalla’s 86. Lucas was quite aggressive to blast 42 winners.
About the serving games, Pouille bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lucas Pouille lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pouille put 57% of his first serves in, winning 76% (42/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Pouille broke Roca Batalla 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Pouille has a compiled 6-7 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Carballes Baena | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 47 |
| Pts | 184-154 | 171-145 |
| Total Points | 338 | 316 |
| Winners | 76 | 75 |
| %Winners | 41% | 44% |
Both Carballes Baena and Pouille played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roberto Carballes Baena dropped 1 set, while Lucas Pouille lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Carballes Baena and Pouille have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Carballes Baena played 6 games more than Pouille. The Spaniard scored 76 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Pouille bagged 75 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Carballes Baena | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 103/155 | 94/167 |
| %1st in | 66% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 76/103 | 75/94 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 22/52 | 33/73 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 45% |
Carballes Baena fired 2 aces (1 per match). Pouille recorded 12 aces (6 per match). Carballes Baena won 74% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Pouille won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Carballes Baena | Pouille |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 7 |
| Converted | 11/29 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 7 |
| % Saved | 30% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 2 |
Carballes Baena broke his opponents 11 times with a 38% conversion rate. Roberto surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 30% of the break points that he conceded. Lucas broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pouille conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Carballes Baena | ||||
| R1 Popko |
R2 Kotov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-1 | 5-7 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 | 53 | |
| pts | 78-58 | 106-96 | 184-154 | |
| Total points | 136 | 202 | 338 | |
| Winners | 32 | 44 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 44/62 | 59/93 | 103/155 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 63% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 44/59 | 76/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 14/34 | 22/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 41% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 6/13 | 11/29 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 46% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 17% | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Pouille | ||||
| R1 Marterer |
R2 Roca Batalla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-64 | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 47 | |
| pts | 78-59 | 93-86 | 171-145 | |
| Total points | 137 | 179 | 316 | |
| Winners | 33 | 42 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 7 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 39/70 | 55/97 | 94/167 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 33/39 | 42/55 | 75/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 76% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/31 | 21/42 | 33/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 50% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/4 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 75% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 80% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWWWL
LLWLLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Madrid Challenger
- Rafael Matos/David Vega HernandezMatos/David Vega Hernandez – Vlad Victor Cornea/Fabian FallertVictor Cornea/Fabian Fallert (0-6 7-5 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena – Lucas PouillePouille (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Manuel GuinardGuinard – Pedro CachinCachin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
