Sebastian Baez and Kamil Majchrzak will fight against each other in the qualifications of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.58
Kamil Majchrzak -> 2.38
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Kamil Majchrzak
This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Kamil Majchrzak clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Majchrzak (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Majchrzak won 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in Miami back in March 2022.
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 66, the Argentine reached the qualifications after beating Marco Cecchinato 6-74 6-1 7-66.
In the qualifications against Cecchinato, Baez recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-1 7-66). During the match, Baez scored 121 points vs Cecchinato’s 107. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez recorded 2 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 72% of his first serves in, winning 63% (54/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. Sebastian broke Cecchinato 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Baez has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 70% of his matches (168-73). 11-4 on clay in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Baez has an aggregate148-57 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Baez’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Santiago.
Baez has an aggregate 16-11 win-loss record in 2022, 11-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Kamil Majchrzak
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-23 | 19-6 | 12-7 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 63-19 | 26-6 | 34-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-22 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 4-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-21 | 4-4 | 16-9 | 5-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 76, Majchrzak reached the qualifications after defeating Mikael Ymer 6-2 4-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, Kamil defeated Ymer (6-2 4-6 6-4). During the match Majchrzak scored 107 points vs Ymer’s 104. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Majchrzak blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Kamil Majchrzak lost the serve 4 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Majchrzak put 55% of his first serves in, winning 59% (34/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (26/48) on the 2nd serve. Majchrzak broke Ymer 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Majchrzak’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Pune.
Majchrzak has a composed 11-8 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 28 |
| Pts | 121-107 | 107-104 |
| Total Points | 228 | 211 |
| Winners | 54 | 34 |
| %Winners | 45% | 32% |
Both Baez and Majchrzak played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez lost 1 set, while Kamil Majchrzak surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Baez and Majchrzak have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Baez played 5 games more than Majchrzak. Baez scored 54 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Kamil scored 34 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 86/120 | 58/106 |
| %1st in | 72% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 54/86 | 34/58 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 26/48 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Baez managed to score 2 aces . Majchrzak scored 3 aces . Baez won 63% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Majchrzak won 59% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Majchrzak |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/11 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 45% | 60% |
| Conceded | 11 | 19 |
| Saved | 8 | 15 |
| % Saved | 73% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Baez broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sebastian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Majchrzak broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Pole conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | |||
| Q1 Cecchinato |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-1 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 121-107 | 121-107 | |
| Total points | 228 | 228 | |
| Winners | 54 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 86/120 | 86/120 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 54/86 | 54/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 19/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Majchrzak | |||
| Q1 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 107-104 | 107-104 | |
| Total points | 211 | 211 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 58/106 | 58/106 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 34/58 | 34/58 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/48 | 26/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 15/19 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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