Nicolas Jarry and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mexico City Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on ESTADIO. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Jarry who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Jarry is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.50
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 2.50
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Jarry vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
This will be the 3rd time that Nicolas Jarry and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pucinelli De Almeida (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the 2nd round in the Concepcion 2 Challenger back in March 2022.
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-22 | 2-6 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 139, Nicolas got to the 2nd round after defeating Viktor Durasovic 4-6 7-65 6-2.
In the 1st round against Durasovic, Nicolas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-2). During the match, Jarry scored 103 points vs Durasovic’s 96. Nicolas was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Jarry made 13 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (38/50) of his 1st serve and 62% (34/55) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Chilean broke Durasovic 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Jarry has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (301-204). 7-5 on clay in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Jarry has a composed 242-130 record in the last years on clay.
Jarry has an aggregate 7-5 win-loss record in 2022, 7-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Mexico City Challenger
The Chilean has never competed in this tournament before.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-26 | 0-1 | 39-24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 0-1 | 38-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-25 | 1-3 | 19-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-29 | 1-3 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 225, the Brazilian reached the 2nd round after beating Denis Istomin 5-7 7-65 7-66.
In the 1st round against Istomin, Matheus recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-65 7-66).During the match Pucinelli De Almeida scored less points (6) than Istomin. In fact, the world no. 139 won 113 points vs Istomin’s. That means that Pucinelli De Almeida was more focused during the important points. Pucinelli De Almeida was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
About the serving games, Pucinelli De Almeida made 5 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (50/71) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (25/47) on the 2nd serve. Matheus broke Istomin twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Matheus has a compiled 10-7 win-loss record in 2022, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Jarry | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 31 | 38 |
| Pts | 103-96 | 113-119 |
| Total Points | 199 | 232 |
| Winners | 38 | 50 |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% |
Both Jarry and Pucinelli De Almeida played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Nicolas Jarry surrendered 1 set, while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Jarry and Pucinelli De Almeida have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Jarry played 7 games less than Pucinelli De Almeida. Jarry scored 38 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida managed to score 50 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Jarry | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 5 |
| 1st in | 50/105 | 71/118 |
| %1st in | 48% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 38/50 | 50/71 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/55 | 25/47 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 53% |
Jarry blasted 13 aces . Pucinelli De Almeida made 5 aces . Jarry won 76% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Jarry | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 3 |
| % Saved | 78% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Nicolas broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Nicolas lost his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Pucinelli De Almeida broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Pucinelli De Almeida conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Jarry | |||
| R1 Durasovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 103-96 | 103-96 | |
| Total points | 199 | 199 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 50/105 | 50/105 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 48% | |
| 1st pts | 38/50 | 38/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 34/55 | 34/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Pucinelli De Almeida | |||
| R1 Istomin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-65 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 | |
| pts | 113-119 | 113-119 | |
| Total points | 232 | 232 | |
| Winners | 50 | 50 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 71/118 | 71/118 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 50/71 | 50/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/47 | 25/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLWWWW
LLWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Mexico City Challenger
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Andrej MartinMartin (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler – Gilbert Klier JuniorKlier Junior (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Ignacio LonderoIgnacio Londero – Goncalo OliveiraOliveira (7-5 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Mateus AlvesAlves – Federico GaioGaio (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Facundo MenaMena (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Juan Alejandro HernandezAlejandro Hernandez (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Pedja KrstinKrstin – Keegan SmithSmith (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Renzo OlivoOlivo – Nick ChappellChappell (6-4 4-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves – Ernesto EscobedoEscobedo (1-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Bernard TomicTomic (6-4 6-73 6-3) – See score progression
- Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPucinelli De Almeida – Denis IstominIstomin (5-7 7-65 7-66) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (4-6 7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Gerald MelzerMelzer – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-4 0-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Facundo MenaMena (6-1 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nicolas BarrientosBarrientos – Gerald MelzerMelzer (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elmar EjupovicEjupovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedja KrstinKrstin – Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMeligeni Rodrigues Alves (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jay ClarkeClarke – Mateus De Carvalho CardosoDe Carvalho Cardoso (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Renzo OlivoOlivo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
