Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.22
Jessica Pegula -> 4.33
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 5-7 6-4 6-1 in the 2nd round in Washington back in 2019.
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59-8 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Pole reached the semifinal after beating Viktorija Golubic 6-2 6-0, Madison Brengle 6-0 6-3, Cori Gauff 6-3 6-1 and Petra Kvitova 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Kvitova (6-3 6-3). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Kvitova’s 46. Swiatek was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (28/37) of her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Kvitova 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 78% of her matches (174-50). 24-3 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has a compiled73-26 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Doha where she beat Anett Kontaveit in the final 6-2 6-0 and in in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-1.
Iga has a compiled 24-3 win-loss record in 2022, 24-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-12 | 26-7 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, Jessica got to the semifinal after beating Sloane Stephens 6-1 6-4, Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-4, Anhelina Kalinina 6-0 0-0 ret. and Paula Badosa Gibert 4-1 ret..
In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Badosa (4-1 ret.). During the match Pegula scored 18 points vs Badosa’s 7. Jessica was extremely aggressive to blast 9 winners.
About the serving games, Pegula scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jessica Pegula lost the serve once. Furthermore, Pegula put 63% of her first serves in, winning 90% (9/10) of the points behind her 1st serve and 17% (1/6) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Badosa twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
The American has an overall 11-6 win-loss record in 2022, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 47 |
| Pts | 248-159 | 184-126 |
| Total Points | 407 | 310 |
| Winners | 95 | 70 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Swiatek and Pegula played 4 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Pegula (8 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Swiatek played 16 games more than Pegula. Swiatek scored 95 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Jessica managed to score 70 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 131/204 | 99/169 |
| %1st in | 64% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 95/131 | 70/99 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 44/73 | 38/70 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 54% |
Swiatek scored 5 aces (1.3 per match). Pegula struck 10 aces (2.5 per match). Swiatek won 73% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 13 |
| Converted | 18/36 | 13/21 |
| % Converted | 50% | 62% |
| Conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Saved | 11 | 9 |
| % Saved | 85% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Pole broke her opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Pole lost her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. Jessica broke her opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R2 Golubic |
R3 Brengle |
R4 Gauff |
1/4 Kvitova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-0 | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 63 | |
| pts | 63-36 | 55-34 | 67-43 | 63-46 | 248-159 | |
| Total points | 99 | 89 | 110 | 109 | 407 | |
| Winners | 25 | 16 | 26 | 28 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 29% | 39% | 44% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 37/55 | 24/47 | 33/50 | 37/52 | 131/204 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 51% | 66% | 71% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 25/37 | 16/24 | 26/33 | 28/37 | 95/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 67% | 79% | 76% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 15/23 | 10/17 | 10/15 | 44/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 65% | 59% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/10 | 4/10 | 3/7 | 18/36 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 40% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 50% | 100% | – | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Pegula | ||||||
| R2 Stephens |
R3 Rybakina |
R4 Kalinina |
1/4 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-0 0-0 ret. | 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 47 | |
| pts | 70-51 | 69-57 | 27-11 | 18-7 | 184-126 | |
| Total points | 121 | 126 | 38 | 25 | 310 | |
| Winners | 24 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 42% | 30% | 50% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 37/61 | 43/72 | 9/20 | 10/16 | 99/169 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 60% | 45% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 24/37 | 29/43 | 8/9 | 9/10 | 70/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 67% | 89% | 90% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 17/29 | 6/11 | 1/6 | 38/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 59% | 55% | 17% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 2/2 | 13/21 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 60% | 50% | 100% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 3/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 75% | 100% | 0% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
LWWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- John IsnerIsner – Bjorn FratangeloFratangelo (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Matthew EbdenEbden – Peter GojowczykGojowczyk (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Belinda BencicBencic – Naomi OsakaOsaka (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
