Flavio Cobolli and Daniel Michalski will square off in the final of the Zadar Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Flavio Cobolli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Flavio Cobolli is the pick to win this match.
Flavio Cobolli -> 1.75
Daniel Michalski -> 2.08
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Prediction and head to head Flavio Cobolli vs. Daniel Michalski
There is no head to head record between Flavio Cobolli and Daniel Michalski since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Flavio Cobolli
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-29 | 9-13 | 15-6 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-29 | 26-13 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-36 | 10-6 | 43-23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 6-4 | 24-21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 46-30 | 5-4 | 39-21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 165 (career-high), Flavio got to the final after beating Nino Serdarusic 1-6 6-4 6-1, Dino Prizmic 2-6 7-5 6-2, Eduard Esteve Lobato 6-1 7-5 and Manuel Guinard 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, The Italian defeated Guinard (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Cobolli scored 97 points vs Guinard’s 82. Flavio was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Cobolli managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 61% of his first serves in, winning 65% (35/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (20/35) on the 2nd serve. Cobolli broke Guinard 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cobolli has surrendered 3 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Cobolli has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (68-50). 8-2 on clay in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Cobolli has a composed53-31 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Flavio’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Roseto Degli Abruzzi 1 Challenger and the Zadar Challenger.
The Italian has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2022, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Zadar Challenger
Daniel Michalski
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 52-30 | 5-3 | 47-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 1-6 | 36-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337 (career-high), the Pole got to the final after beating Josip Simundza 6-2 6-1, Mathieu Perchicot 7-5 3-6 6-2, Mili Poljicak 6-2 4-6 7-5, Nerman Fatic 7-5 6-1, Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-1 and Carlos Sanchez Jover 3-6 6-2 6-2.
In the semifinal against Sanchez Jover, The Pole recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-2). During the match Michalski scored 93 points vs Sanchez Jover’s 79. Daniel was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Michalski was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Michalski lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Michalski put 58% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (18/37) on the 2nd serve. Michalski broke Sanchez Jover 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniel started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Michalski’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Cairo.
Daniel has a composed 22-3 win-loss record in 2022, 22-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Zadar Challenger
Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cobolli | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 97 | 134 |
| Pts | 344-305 | 488-387 |
| Total Points | 649 | 875 |
| Winners | 123 | 171 |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% |
Cobolli played 4 matches while Michalski competed in 6 matches. Michalski started his run from the qualifications while Cobolli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Flavio Cobolli dropped 3 sets, while Daniel Michalski surrendered 3 sets. Cobolli has played 4 set(s) less than Michalski (11 vs 15). Therefore, Cobolli played 37 games less than Michalski. Cobolli scored 123 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Michalski fired 171 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cobolli | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 192/329 | 260/420 |
| %1st in | 58% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 123/192 | 171/260 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 75/137 | 88/160 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 55% |
Cobolli bagged 4 aces (1 per match). Michalski scored 3 aces (0.5 per match). Cobolli won 64% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Michalski won 66% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cobolli | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 35 |
| Converted | 19/42 | 35/68 |
| % Converted | 45% | 51% |
| Conceded | 32 | 30 |
| Saved | 21 | 14 |
| % Saved | 66% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 16 |
Flavio broke his opponents 19 times with a 45% conversion rate. Flavio dropped his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. Michalski broke his opponents 35 times with a 51% conversion rate. Michalski conceded his serve 16 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cobolli | ||||||
| R1 Serdarusic |
R2 Prizmic |
1/4 Esteve Lobato |
1/2 Guinard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-1 | 2-6 7-5 6-2 | 6-1 7-5 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 28 | 19 | 26 | 97 | |
| pts | 87-79 | 92-92 | 68-52 | 97-82 | 344-305 | |
| Total points | 166 | 184 | 120 | 179 | 649 | |
| Winners | 32 | 40 | 16 | 35 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 24% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 54/88 | 60/100 | 24/52 | 54/89 | 192/329 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 60% | 46% | 61% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 32/54 | 40/60 | 16/24 | 35/54 | 123/192 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 67% | 67% | 65% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/34 | 19/40 | 16/28 | 20/35 | 75/137 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 48% | 57% | 57% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/6 | 6/13 | 5/11 | 19/42 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 67% | 46% | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 32 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 3/6 | 1/3 | 7/10 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 50% | 33% | 70% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Michalski | ||||||||
| Q1 Simundza |
Q3 Perchicot |
R1 Poljicak |
R2 Fatic |
1/4 Svrcina |
1/2 Sanchez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 7-5 3-6 6-2 | 6-2 4-6 7-5 | 7-5 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 3-6 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 30 | 19 | 16 | 25 | 134 | |
| pts | 54-29 | 107-98 | 98-86 | 67-48 | 69-47 | 93-79 | 488-387 | |
| Total points | 83 | 205 | 184 | 115 | 116 | 172 | 875 | |
| Winners | 20 | 28 | 32 | 24 | 33 | 34 | 171 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 26% | 33% | 36% | 48% | 37% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 26/39 | 44/78 | 53/91 | 38/59 | 47/64 | 52/89 | 260/420 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 56% | 58% | 64% | 73% | 58% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 28/44 | 32/53 | 24/38 | 33/47 | 34/52 | 171/260 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 64% | 60% | 63% | 70% | 65% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 21/34 | 20/38 | 14/21 | 7/17 | 18/37 | 88/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | 53% | 67% | 41% | 49% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 35 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/18 | 7/10 | 5/13 | 5/8 | 6/8 | 35/68 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 33% | 70% | 38% | 63% | 75% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 1/5 | 1/6 | 1/3 | 3/4 | 6/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 20% | 17% | 33% | 75% | 67% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
