Heather Watson and Mai Hontama will fight against each other in the qualifications of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on Stadium 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Heather Watson who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Heather Watson is the pick to win this match.
Heather Watson -> 1.66
Mai Hontama -> 2.22
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Prediction and head to head Heather Watson vs. Mai Hontama
There is no head to head record between Heather Watson and Mai Hontama since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Heather Watson
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-25 | 18-13 | 2-4 | 6-3 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 14-13 | 4-6 | 6-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-21 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-11 | 14-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 113, the Brit got to the qualifications after defeating Rebeka Masarova 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Watson had a good straight sets win against Masarova (7-5 6-2). During the match, Watson scored 67 points vs Masarova’s 52. Heather was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Watson was unable to score even 1 ace and she committed only 7 double faults. Heather Watson lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Watson put 56% of her first serves in, winning 65% (22/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. Watson broke Masarova 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Watson has a winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 52% of her matches (226-205). 6-6 on hard in 2022. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Watson has a compiled 133-125 match record in the last years on hard.
Heather has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2022, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Mai Hontama
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-12 | 13-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-28 | 38-18 | 6-5 | 9-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-25 | 25-15 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-15 | 32-12 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 126 (career-high), the Japanese reached the qualifications after defeating Greetje Minnen 6-3 2-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mai defeated Minnen (6-3 2-6 6-2). During the match Hontama scored 87 points vs Minnen’s 78. Mai was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Hontama couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Mai Hontama lost the serve 4 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Hontama put 65% of her first serves in, winning 55% (28/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Minnen 5 times after converting 29% of her break points (5/17).
The Japanese has a composed 5-5 win-loss record in 2022, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 1st round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watson | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 25 |
| Pts | 67-52 | 87-78 |
| Total Points | 119 | 165 |
| Winners | 22 | 28 |
| %Winners | 33% | 32% |
Both Watson and Hontama played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Mai Hontama dropped 1 set while Heather Watson hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Watson has played 1 set(s) less than Hontama (2 vs 3). Therefore, Watson played 5 games less than Hontama. The Brit scored 22 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese recorded 28 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watson | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 34/61 | 51/78 |
| %1st in | 56% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 22/34 | 28/51 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 55% |
| 2nd pts | 10/27 | 18/27 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 67% |
Watson didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Hontama also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Watson won 65% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Hontama won 55% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watson | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/11 | 5/17 |
| % Converted | 64% | 29% |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Saved | 2 | 1 |
| % Saved | 33% | 20% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 |
Heather broke her opponent 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. Heather dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded. The Japanese broke her opponent 5 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 20% of the break points that she conceded.
| Watson | |||
| Q1 Masarova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-52 | 67-52 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 34/61 | 34/61 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/34 | 22/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/27 | 10/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Hontama | |||
| Q1 Minnen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 87-78 | 87-78 | |
| Total points | 165 | 165 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 51/78 | 51/78 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/51 | 28/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 18/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 5/17 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 20% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLLWWWW
LWWWLLLLWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Leonardo MayerMayer – Paul-Henri MathieuMathieu (2-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur De GreefDe Greef – Tommy RobredoRobredo (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico DelbonisDelbonis – Stephane RobertRobert (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maximilian MartererMarterer – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mai HontamaHontama – Heather WatsonWatson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Chloe PaquetPaquet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kaja JuvanJuvan – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Qiang WangWang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Sara ErraniErrani (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kirsten FlipkensFlipkens – Caty McNallyMcNally (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Astra SharmaSharma – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Harmony TanTan – Aleksandra KrunicKrunic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia GasanovaGasanova – Harriet DartDart (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Dalma GalfiGalfi (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna BondarBondar – Petra MarticMartic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ann LiLi – Madison BrengleBrengle (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Danka KovinicKovinic – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clara BurelBurel – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sofia KeninKenin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katie VolynetsVolynets – Arantxa RusRus (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ana KonjuhKonjuh – Alize CornetCornet (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Misaki DoiDoi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuria Parrizas-DiazParrizas-Diaz – Shelby RogersRogers (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Naomi OsakaOsaka (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kristina KucovaKucova – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Maryna ZanevskaZanevska (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Andrea PetkovicPetkovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
