Maria Sakkari and Jessica Pegula will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on Grandstand 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.83
Jessica Pegula -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Jessica Pegula
This will be the 4th time that Maria Sakkari and Jessica Pegula square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 7-6(0) 6-3 in the 4th round in at the Australian Open back in January 2022.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Maria Sakkari – Australian Open 23-January-2022
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Maria reached the 3rd round after defeating Ann Li 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Li (6-3 6-3). During the match, Sakkari scored 62 points vs Li’s 48. The Greek was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari recorded 2 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 65% of her first serves in, winning 62% (23/37) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Li 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Sakkari has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 62% of her matches (339-210). 5-2 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Sakkari has an aggregate158-104 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Maria’s best result of the year was reaching the final in St. Petersburg.
The Greek has an overall 9-3 win-loss record in 2022, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 35-12 | 11-5 | 3-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Pegula got to the 3rd round after defeating Katerina Siniakova 6-3 6-2 and Kaja Juvan 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Juvan (6-3 6-3). During the match Pegula scored 78 points vs Juvan’s 58. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Pegula wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 57% of her first serves in, winning 72% (28/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (13/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Juvan 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Jessica has a composed 7-4 win-loss record in 2022, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 35 |
| Pts | 62-48 | 140-102 |
| Total Points | 110 | 242 |
| Winners | 23 | 57 |
| %Winners | 37% | 41% |
Sakkari played 1 match while Pegula competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Sakkari has played 2 set(s) less than Pegula (2 vs 4). Therefore, Sakkari played 17 games less than Pegula. Maria scored 23 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula fired 57 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 81/128 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 23/37 | 57/81 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 23/47 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 49% |
Sakkari managed to score 2 aces . Pegula fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Sakkari won 62% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 9 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 9/23 |
| % Converted | 63% | 39% |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 71% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Greek broke her opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Maria conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sakkari | |||
| R2 Li |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 62-48 | 62-48 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 23/37 | 23/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Pegula | ||||
| R1 Siniakova |
R2 Juvan |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 62-44 | 78-58 | 140-102 | |
| Total points | 106 | 136 | 242 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 39/68 | 81/128 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 57% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 28/39 | 57/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 72% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 13/29 | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 45% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/14 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 36% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 71% | 146% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWLLWW
LWLWLWWWWL Tennis Scores in Doha
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Ann LiLi (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Lucie Hradecka/Sania MirzaHradecka/Sania Mirza – Anna Danilina/Beatriz Haddad MaiaDanilina/Beatriz Haddad Maia (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (7-69 7-5) – See score progression
- Tereza MartincovaMartincova – Arantxa RusRus (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora Krejcikova/Katerina SiniakovaKrejcikova/Katerina Siniakova – Ulrikke Eikeri/Alexandra PanovaEikeri/Alexandra Panova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (1-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Jaqueline CristianCristian (2-6 2-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Petra KvitovaKvitova (7-5 1-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (w/o) – See score progression
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Clara TausonTauson (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Magda LinetteLinette (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Ana KonjuhKonjuh (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Marsel IlhanIlhan (6-3 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Yuichi SugitaSugita – David FerrerFerrer (6-3 3-6 7-62) – See score progression
- Radu AlbotAlbot – Paolo LorenziLorenzi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andreas SeppiSeppi – Janko TipsarevicTipsarevic (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Fernando VerdascoVerdasco – Steve DarcisDarcis (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Mohamed SafwatSafwat (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Ramkumar RamanathanRamanathan – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jil TeichmannTeichmann – Alison Van UytvanckVan Uytvanck (7-6(9) 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Jaqueline CristianCristian (2-6 2-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (6-2 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-2 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Kaja JuvanJuvan (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Ann LiLi (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich (1-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tereza MartincovaMartincova – Arantxa RusRus (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison BrengleBrengle – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (w/o) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (6-3 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Magda LinetteLinette (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Cori GauffGauff (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Anett KontaveitKontaveit (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza – Madison BrengleBrengle (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (2-2) – H2H and prediction
