Stefanos Tsitsipas and Sebastian Baez will play each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 3:00 pm on Margaret Court Arena. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.118
Sebastian Baez -> 6.75
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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Sebastian Baez
There is no head to head record between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Sebastian Baez since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-18 | 12-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, Stefanos reached the 2nd round after beating Mikael Ymer 6-2 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, The Greek had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-2 6-4 6-3). During the match, Tsitsipas scored 99 points vs Ymer’s 79. The Greek was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Regarding the service games, Tsitsipas made 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Tsitsipas put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (39/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (18/31) on the 2nd serve. Tsitsipas broke Ymer 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 68% of his matches (334-156). 2-1 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Tsitsipas has an overall133-69 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Stefanos has a compiled 2-1 win-loss record in 2022, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-27 | 3-9 | 17-14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 88 (career-high), Baez reached the 2nd round after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-4 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Argentine had a tough win against Ramos-Vinolas to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-4 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-2). During the match Baez scored 152 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 145. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 70 winners.
About the serving games, Baez recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 8 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 79% of his first serves in, winning 63% (70/112) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (9/29) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Ramos-Vinolas 9 times after converting 45% of his break points (9/20).
Baez has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2022, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the Australian Open
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tsitsipas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 44 |
| Pts | 99-79 | 152-145 |
| Total Points | 178 | 297 |
| Winners | 39 | 70 |
| %Winners | 39% | 46% |
Both Tsitsipas and Baez played 1 match. At the moment, Sebastian Baez lost 2 sets while Stefanos Tsitsipas hasn’t dropped a set so far. Tsitsipas has played 2 set(s) less than Baez (3 vs 5). Therefore, Tsitsipas played 17 games less than Baez. Stefanos scored 39 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine fired 70 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tsitsipas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 3 |
| 1st in | 56/87 | 112/141 |
| %1st in | 64% | 79% |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 70/112 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 9/29 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 31% |
Tsitsipas recorded 6 aces . Baez managed to score 3 aces . Tsitsipas won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 63% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 31% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tsitsipas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 9 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 9/20 |
| % Converted | 54% | 45% |
| Conceded | 11 | 13 |
| Saved | 9 | 5 |
| % Saved | 82% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
Stefanos broke his opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Stefanos dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 9 times with a 45% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 38% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tsitsipas | |||
| R1 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 99-79 | 99-79 | |
| Total points | 178 | 178 | |
| Winners | 39 | 39 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 56/87 | 56/87 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 39/56 | 39/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/31 | 18/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 9/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 82% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Baez | |||
| R1 Ramos-Vinolas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 44 | 44 | |
| pts | 152-145 | 152-145 | |
| Total points | 297 | 297 | |
| Winners | 70 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 112/141 | 112/141 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 79% | |
| 1st pts | 70/112 | 70/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/29 | 9/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 31% | 31% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 9 | 9 | |
| Converted | 9/20 | 9/20 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 5/13 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 38% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLLWLLL
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