Matteo Berrettini and Stefan Kozlov will play each other in the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:30 pm on John Cain Arena. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.108
Stefan Kozlov -> 7.2

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Berrettini vs. Stefan Kozlov

There is no head to head record between Matteo Berrettini and Stefan Kozlov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
56
High
6
WLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-17 10-9 4-3 6-4 0-1 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Italian got to the 2nd round after defeating Brandon Nakashima 4-6 6-2 7-65 6-3.

In the 1st round against Nakashima, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 7-65 6-3). During the match, Berrettini scored 128 points vs Nakashima’s 118. Berrettini was exceptionally aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Regarding the service games, Berrettini overwhelmed his opponent with 21 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (57/78) of his 1st serve and 59% (30/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Berrettini has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 66% of his matches (250-126). 2-2 on hard in 2022. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Berrettini has an overall108-52 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

Berrettini has an overall 2-2 win-loss record in 2022, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Australian Open
Berrettini's Record

Stefan Kozlov

Stefan Kozlov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
306
High
103
WWWWWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-11 12-6 4-1 10-3 0-1 0-0
2024 37-19 16-9 17-8 4-2 0-0 0-0
2023 6-12 1-6 0-0 5-6 0-0 0-0
2022 21-34 14-18 0-5 4-5 3-6 0-0
2021 41-15 20-12 5-2 16-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 169, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Jiri Vesely 7-5 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Vesely (7-5 6-3 6-4). During the match Kozlov scored 105 points vs Vesely’s 89. The American was very aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Kozlov scored 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Stefan Kozlov was very efficient on serve to win 79% (52/66) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kozlov broke Vesely 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Kozlov has an overall 1-2 win-loss record in 2022, 1-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the Australian Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2018. See his history.

Australian Open
Kozlov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Berrettini
S.Kozlov
3h:10
3h:10
Time on court​
2h:35
2h:35
!
3h:10
3h:10
Last match​
!
2h:35
2h:35
1
1
Match played
1
1
40
40
Games Played​
31
31
4
4
Set played​​
3
3
128
128
Total points​
105
105
128
128
Avg point​
105
105
57
57
Winners
52
52
57
57
Avg Winners​
52
52
45%
45%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
5
5
!
21
21
Avg Aces
5
5
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
2
2
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
57/78
57/78
1st won total​
52/66
52/66
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
30/51
30/51
2nd won total​
18/30
18/30
59%
59%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
3/11
3/11
BP won
3/8
3/8
3/11
3/11
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
!
27%
27%
Won
38%
38%
9
9
Conceded
4
4
9
9
Avg Conceded
4
4
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
8
8
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Kozlov
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 4 3
Tot Games 40 31
Pts 128-118 105-89
Total Points 246 194
Winners 57 52
%Winners 45% 50%

Both Berrettini and Kozlov played 1 match. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set while Stefan Kozlov hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Berrettini has played 1 set more than Kozlov (4 vs 3). Therefore, Berrettini played 9 games more than Kozlov. Matteo scored 57 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 52 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Kozlov
Aces 21 5
Avg per match 21 5
1st in 78/129 66/96
%1st in 60% 69%
1st pts 57/78 52/66
%1st pts 73% 79%
2nd pts 30/51 18/30
%2nd pts 59% 60%

Berrettini struck 21 aces . Kozlov struck 5 aces . Berrettini won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kozlov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Kozlov
Won 3 3
Converted 3/11 3/8
% Converted 27% 38%
Conceded 9 4
Saved 8 4
% Saved 89% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Berrettini broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Stefan broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Kozlov was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Berrettini
R1
Nakashima
Total
Score 4-6 6-2 7-65 6-3
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 40 40
pts 128-118 128-118
Total points 246 246
Winners 57 57
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 21 21
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 78/129 78/129
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 57/78 57/78
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 30/51 30/51
% 2nd pts 59% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/11 3/11
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 8/9 8
Saved % 89% 89%
Times Broken 1 1
Kozlov
R1
Vesely
Total
Score 7-5 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 31 31
pts 105-89 105-89
Total points 194 194
Winners 52 52
%Winners 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 66/96 66/96
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 52/66 52/66
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 18/30 18/30
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores – Australian Open

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