Aslan Karatsev and Andy Murray will face off in the final of the Sydney Tennis Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:00 pm on KEN ROSEWALL ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.9
Andy Murray -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Andy Murray
There is no head to head record between Aslan Karatsev and Andy Murray since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Aslan Karatsev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-18 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-22 | 13-10 | 14-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-31 | 8-9 | 5-9 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-20 | 23-9 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 36-11 | 7-4 | 17-2 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 20, Aslan reached the final after beating Miomir Kecmanovic 7-5 6-4, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 3-6 6-2 and Daniel Evans 6-3 6-713 6-3.
In the semifinal, Aslan defeated Evans (6-3 6-713 6-3). During the match, Karatsev scored 119 points vs Evans’s 102. Karatsev was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karatsev blasted 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (48/64) of his 1st serve and 54% (25/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Karatsev broke Evans 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Karatsev started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Karatsev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (336-201). 3-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has a composed 137-63 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Aslan’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Sydney.
Karatsev has an aggregate 3-0 win-loss record in 2022, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sydney
Karatsev has never competed in this tournament before.
Andy Murray
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-18 | 13-10 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 11-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-20 | 12-11 | 2-0 | 5-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 12-9 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 3-4 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 135, Murray reached the final after beating Viktor Durasovic 6-3 6-1, Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-74 7-63 6-3, David Goffin 6-2 ret. and Reilly Opelka 6-76 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal against Opelka, Murray recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 6-4 6-4). During the match Murray scored 106 points vs Opelka’s 88. Andy was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Murray recorded 16 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andy Murray was very efficient on serve to win 88% (50/57) of his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Andy broke Opelka twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Brit’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Sydney.
Andy has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2022, 4-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karatsev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 92 |
| Pts | 299-258 | 330-271 |
| Total Points | 557 | 601 |
| Winners | 117 | 137 |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% |
Karatsev played 3 matches while Murray competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aslan Karatsev surrendered 2 sets, while Andy Murray dropped 2 sets. Karatsev has played 2 set(s) less than Murray (8 vs 10). Therefore, Karatsev played 14 games less than Murray. Aslan scored 117 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 137 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karatsev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 29 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 7.3 |
| 1st in | 160/263 | 172/287 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 117/160 | 137/172 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 56/103 | 70/115 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Karatsev made 20 aces (6.7 per match). Murray struck 29 aces (7.3 per match). Karatsev won 73% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Murray won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karatsev | Murray |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 11 |
| Converted | 12/36 | 11/32 |
| % Converted | 33% | 34% |
| Conceded | 18 | 12 |
| Saved | 13 | 10 |
| % Saved | 72% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
The Russian broke his opponents 12 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. Murray broke his opponents 11 times with a 34% conversion rate. Murray conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Karatsev | |||||
| R2 Kecmanovic |
1/4 Sonego |
1/2 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | 6-3 6-713 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 25 | 31 | 78 | |
| pts | 73-61 | 107-95 | 119-102 | 299-258 | |
| Total points | 134 | 202 | 221 | 557 | |
| Winners | 28 | 41 | 48 | 117 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 32/59 | 64/94 | 64/110 | 160/263 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 68% | 58% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/32 | 41/64 | 48/64 | 117/160 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 64% | 75% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 17/30 | 25/46 | 56/103 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 57% | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/25 | 4/6 | 12/36 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 20% | 67% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 7/9 | 4/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 78% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Murray | ||||||
| R1 Durasovic |
R2 Basilashvili |
1/4 Goffin |
1/2 Opelka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-74 7-63 6-3 | 6-2 ret. | 6-76 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 35 | 8 | 33 | 92 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 128-120 | 34-23 | 106-88 | 330-271 | |
| Total points | 102 | 248 | 57 | 194 | 601 | |
| Winners | 25 | 51 | 11 | 50 | 137 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | 32% | 47% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 29 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 26/44 | 72/123 | 17/35 | 57/85 | 172/287 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | 49% | 67% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/26 | 51/72 | 11/17 | 50/57 | 137/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 71% | 65% | 88% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 30/51 | 12/18 | 20/28 | 70/115 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 59% | 67% | 71% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/12 | 2/3 | 2/9 | 11/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 25% | 67% | 22% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/9 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 78% | 100% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Andy MurrayMurray (0-0) – H2H and prediction
