Reilly Opelka and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the quarter of the Sydney Tennis Classic for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.74
Reilly Opelka -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Reilly Opelka vs. Brandon Nakashima
There is no head to head record between Reilly Opelka and Brandon Nakashima since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Reilly Opelka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-23 | 14-11 | 6-4 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Reilly got to the quarter after beating Jordan Thompson 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Thompson (6-3 6-2). During the match, Opelka scored 65 points vs Thompson’s 44. Opelka was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Opelka blasted 10 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Reilly Opelka was quite efficient on serve to win 96% (22/23) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Reilly broke Thompson 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Opelka has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 56% of his matches (188-147). 1-1 on hard in 2022. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Opelka has a compiled91-75 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Opelka has an aggregate 1-1 win-loss record in 2022, 1-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sydney
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 68, the American got to the quarter after defeating Jiri Vesely 7-62 7-60 and Fabio Fognini 7-67 7-66.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Fognini (7-67 7-66). During the match Nakashima scored 93 points vs Fognini’s 82. Brandon was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima struck 7 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Nakashima put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 71% (20/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Fognini twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakashima started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Brandon has a compiled 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Opelka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 52 |
| Pts | 65-44 | 169-148 |
| Total Points | 109 | 317 |
| Winners | 22 | 67 |
| %Winners | 34% | 40% |
Opelka played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Opelka has played 2 set(s) less than Nakashima (2 vs 4). Therefore, Opelka played 35 games less than Nakashima. Reilly scored 22 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon made 67 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Opelka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 9.5 |
| 1st in | 23/52 | 91/148 |
| %1st in | 44% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 22/23 | 67/91 |
| %1st pts | 96% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 44/57 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 77% |
Opelka fired 10 aces . Nakashima bagged 19 aces (9.5 per match). Opelka won 96% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 77% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Opelka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Opelka broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Opelka pretty effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. The American broke his opponents twice with a 40% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Opelka | |||
| R2 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 65-44 | 65-44 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 23/52 | 23/52 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 44% | |
| 1st pts | 22/23 | 22/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 96% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/29 | 17/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Vesely |
R2 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-60 | 7-67 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | 52 | |
| pts | 76-66 | 93-82 | 169-148 | |
| Total points | 142 | 175 | 317 | |
| Winners | 34 | 33 | 67 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 35% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 7 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 44/73 | 47/75 | 91/148 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 33/47 | 67/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/29 | 20/28 | 44/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 71% | 77% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLLWWLLL
LLLWLLLWLW
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maxime CressyCressy – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
