Elena Rybakina and Shelby Rogers will play each other in the quarter of the Adelaide International 1 for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.67
Shelby Rogers -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Shelby Rogers
This will be the 4th time that Elena Rybakina and Shelby Rogers fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but Rogers leads 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Rybakina won 6-1 6-4 in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2021.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Shelby Rogers – Wimbledon 02-July-2021
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-9 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14 (career-high), Rybakina got to the quarter after beating Storm Sanders 6-4 1-6 6-1 and Marie Bouzkova 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rybakina scored 69 points vs Bouzkova’s 50. Rybakina was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina made 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was very effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elena broke Bouzkova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Rybakina has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 68% of her matches (204-96). 2-0 on hard in 2022. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed80-43 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Kazakhstani has an overall 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Rybakina has never competed in this tournament before.
Shelby Rogers
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-14 | 11-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-20 | 13-9 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-23 | 20-12 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-10 | 16-9 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 40 (career-high), Shelby reached the quarter after beating Maddison Inglis 6-1 6-3 and Maria Sakkari 7-65 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Rogers defeated Sakkari (7-65 2-6 6-4).During the match Rogers scored less points (11) than Sakkari. In fact, the world no. 14 won 88 points vs Sakkari’s. That means that Rogers was more focused during the important points. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, Rogers recorded 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Shelby Rogers lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Rogers put 66% of her first serves in, winning 64% (42/66) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (13/34) on the 2nd serve. Rogers broke Sakkari 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
The American has an aggregate 2-0 win-loss record in 2022, 2-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Adelaide
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 47 |
| Pts | 160-137 | 150-138 |
| Total Points | 297 | 288 |
| Winners | 57 | 63 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Both Rybakina and Rogers played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina dropped 1 set, while Shelby Rogers dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rybakina and Rogers have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Rybakina played 4 games less than Rogers. Rybakina scored 57 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 63 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 77/145 | 95/152 |
| %1st in | 53% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 57/77 | 63/95 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 34/68 | 27/57 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 47% |
Rybakina scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Rogers struck 8 aces (4 per match). Rybakina won 74% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Rogers won 66% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Rogers |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 9 |
| Converted | 8/22 | 9/12 |
| % Converted | 36% | 75% |
| Conceded | 15 | 19 |
| Saved | 10 | 13 |
| % Saved | 67% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 6 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 9 times with a 75% conversion rate. Rogers conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | ||||
| R1 Sanders |
R2 Bouzkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 19 | 43 | |
| pts | 91-87 | 69-50 | 160-137 | |
| Total points | 178 | 119 | 297 | |
| Winners | 34 | 23 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 50/95 | 27/50 | 77/145 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 54% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 23/27 | 57/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 85% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/45 | 15/23 | 34/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 65% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 3/8 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 38% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 1/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 50% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Rogers | ||||
| R1 Inglis |
R2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 7-65 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 31 | 47 | |
| pts | 62-39 | 88-99 | 150-138 | |
| Total points | 101 | 187 | 288 | |
| Winners | 21 | 42 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 48% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/52 | 66/100 | 95/152 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 66% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 21/29 | 42/66 | 63/95 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 64% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 13/34 | 27/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 38% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 4/5 | 9/12 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 80% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 13 | 19 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 8/13 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 62% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWWLW
LLLLLLWLWL Tennis Scores in Adelaide
- Darija Jurak/Andreja KlepacJurak/Andreja Klepac – Marie Bouzkova/Lucie HradeckaBouzkova/Lucie Hradecka (7-5 1-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Juan Martin Del PotroMartin Del Potro (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dominic ThiemThiem – Rafael NadalNadal (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- John IsnerIsner – Marin CilicCilic (7-63 2-6 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Milos RaonicRaonic (7-64 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ashleigh BartyBarty – Sofia KeninKenin (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Shelby RogersRogers (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Misaki DoiDoi – Kaja JuvanJuvan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
