Kaichi Uchida and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will clash against each other in the final of the Rio De Janeiro Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nicolas Alvarez Varona is the pick to win this match.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.7
Kaichi Uchida -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Kaichi Uchida vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona
There is no head to head record between Kaichi Uchida and Nicolas Alvarez Varona since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Kaichi Uchida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-24 | 14-18 | 16-6 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-33 | 4-18 | 3-10 | 9-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-34 | 24-23 | 8-5 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-26 | 27-13 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-11 | 10-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 319, Uchida got to the final after defeating Gonzalo Villanueva 6-3 6-4, Genaro Alberto Olivieri 3-6 6-3 6-1, Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-4 6-1 and Gabriel Decamps 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal, Kaichi had a good straight sets win against Decamps (6-2 6-3). During the match, Uchida scored 62 points vs Decamps’s 44. Uchida was pretty aggressive to blast 11 winners.
Regarding the service games, Uchida couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Kaichi Uchida was very effective on serve to win 73% (11/15) of his 1st serve and 81% (21/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Decamps 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kaichi started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Uchida has a favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (300-278). 26-13 on hard in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Uchida has an aggregate 169-164 match record in the last years on hard.
Uchida’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Vale do Lobo and M25 Loule.
Uchida has an aggregate 34-26 win-loss record in 2021, 26-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rio De Janeiro Challenger
Uchida has never competed in this tournament before.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-20 | 3-2 | 32-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-9 | 21-6 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 371, Nicolas got to the final after beating Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-3 4-6 6-3, Luciano Darderi 6-3 6-1, Roy Smith 6-4 6-4 and Nicolas Kicker 6-2 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Kicker (6-2 7-5). During the match Alvarez scored 71 points vs Kicker’s 51. Nicolas was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Alvarez blasted 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Nicolas Alvarez Varona was very effective on serve to win 82% (31/38) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alvarez broke Kicker 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alvarez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Alvarez’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Alkmaar and M25 Santander.
The Spaniard has a compiled 40-25 win-loss record in 2021, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Uchida | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 84 |
| Pts | 261-192 | 287-226 |
| Total Points | 453 | 513 |
| Winners | 85 | 129 |
| %Winners | 33% | 45% |
Both Uchida and Alvarez played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Kaichi Uchida dropped 1 set, while Nicolas Alvarez Varona dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Uchida and Alvarez have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Uchida played 6 games less than Alvarez. Kaichi scored 85 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas bagged 129 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Uchida | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 21 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st in | 106/195 | 168/258 |
| %1st in | 54% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 85/106 | 129/168 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 65/89 | 50/90 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 56% |
Uchida made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Alvarez fired 19 aces (4.8 per match). Uchida won 80% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Uchida | Alvarez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 15 |
| Converted | 15/25 | 15/26 |
| % Converted | 60% | 58% |
| Conceded | 5 | 19 |
| Saved | 3 | 15 |
| % Saved | 60% | 79% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
The Japanese broke his opponents 15 times with a 60% conversion rate. Kaichi dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Alvarez conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.
| Uchida | ||||||
| R1 Villanueva |
R2 Alberto |
1/4 Seyboth |
1/2 Decamps |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 25 | 17 | 17 | 78 | |
| pts | 57-37 | 79-65 | 63-46 | 62-44 | 261-192 | |
| Total points | 94 | 144 | 109 | 106 | 453 | |
| Winners | 28 | 26 | 20 | 11 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 33% | 32% | 18% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 31/45 | 35/62 | 25/47 | 15/41 | 106/195 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 56% | 53% | 37% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 26/35 | 20/25 | 11/15 | 85/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 74% | 80% | 73% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/14 | 18/27 | 14/22 | 21/26 | 65/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 86% | 67% | 64% | 81% | 73% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/8 | 4/7 | 4/7 | 15/25 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 63% | 57% | 57% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 33% | 100% | – | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Alvarez | ||||||
| R1 Diaz Acosta |
R2 Darderi |
1/4 Smith |
1/2 Kicker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 84 | |
| pts | 94-78 | 61-42 | 61-55 | 71-51 | 287-226 | |
| Total points | 172 | 103 | 116 | 122 | 513 | |
| Winners | 38 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 49% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 55/88 | 38/51 | 37/61 | 38/58 | 168/258 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 75% | 61% | 66% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 38/55 | 30/38 | 30/37 | 31/38 | 129/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 81% | 82% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 7/13 | 11/24 | 11/20 | 50/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 54% | 46% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/9 | 3/3 | 4/9 | 15/26 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 44% | 100% | 44% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 19 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 5/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 67% | 83% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kaichi UchidaUchida – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (0-0) – H2H and prediction
