Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev will fight against each other in the final of the the Nitto ATP Finals for the 12th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.64
Alexander Zverev -> 2.55
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Zverev
This will be the 12th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Zverev fight against each other. The head to head is 6-5 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 4-2 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(6) in the R in Nitto atp finals back in November 2021.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverev – Nitto atp finals 16-November-2021
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the Russian reached the final after beating Hubert Hurkacz 6-75 6-3 6-4, Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-73 7-66, Jannik Sinner 6-0 6-75 7-68 and Casper Ruud 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-4 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 62 points vs Ruud’s 47. Medvedev was pretty aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (23/28) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Ruud 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 3 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 70% of his matches (374-160). 13-2 on indoor hard courts in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has an overall104-46 record in the last 9 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in in Marseille where he overcame Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 and in in Mallorca where he overcame Sam Querrey in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Toronto where he beat Reilly Opelka in the final 6-4 6-3 and in at the U.S. Open where he overcame Novak Djokovic in the final 6-4 6-4 6-4.
Medvedev has a compiled 58-12 win-loss record in 2021, 13-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2020. See his history.
Alexander Zverev
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Alexander reached the final after beating Matteo Berrettini 7-67 1-0 ret., Hubert Hurkacz 6-2 6-4 and Novak Djokovic 7-64 4-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Alexander defeated Djokovic (7-64 4-6 6-3). During the match Zverev scored 98 points vs Djokovic’s 90. The German was pretty aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about serving, Zverev made 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alexander Zverev was extremely effective on serve to win 78% (54/69) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Zverev broke Djokovic once after converting 25% of his break points (1/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in in Acapulco where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-4 7-6(3) and in in Madrid where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3 and in in Tokyo where he defeated Karen Khachanov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in in Cincinnati where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-3 and in in Vienna where he beat Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-5 6-4.
Alexander has an overall 58-15 win-loss record in 2021, 12-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nitto ATP Finals
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 117 | 64 |
| Pts | 381-327 | 225-188 |
| Total Points | 708 | 413 |
| Winners | 191 | 114 |
| %Winners | 50% | 51% |
Medvedev played 4 matches while Zverev competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 3 sets, while Alexander Zverev dropped 1 set. Medvedev has played 3 sets more than Zverev (11 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 53 games more than Zverev. Medvedev scored 191 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander managed to score 114 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 50 | 35 |
| Avg per match | 12.5 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 240/345 | 145/198 |
| %1st in | 70% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 191/240 | 114/145 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 66/105 | 32/53 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 60% |
Medvedev made 50 aces (12.5 per match). Zverev managed to score 35 aces (11.7 per match). Medvedev won 80% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Zverev won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 4 |
| Converted | 11/28 | 4/16 |
| % Converted | 39% | 25% |
| Conceded | 9 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 5 |
| % Saved | 78% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Daniil broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Zverev broke his opponents 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. Alexander conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| Round Robin Sinner |
Round Robin Zverev |
Round Robin Hurkacz |
1/2 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-75 7-68 | 6-3 6-73 7-66 | 6-75 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 35 | 32 | 18 | 117 | |
| pts | 111-95 | 112-104 | 96-81 | 62-47 | 381-327 | |
| Total points | 206 | 216 | 177 | 109 | 708 | |
| Winners | 55 | 59 | 54 | 23 | 191 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 53% | 56% | 37% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 18 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 50 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 72/102 | 75/107 | 65/89 | 28/47 | 240/345 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 70% | 73% | 60% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 55/72 | 59/75 | 54/65 | 23/28 | 191/240 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 79% | 83% | 82% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 19/32 | 15/24 | 14/19 | 66/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 59% | 63% | 74% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 1/4 | 2/4 | 3/9 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 100% | – | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Zverev | ||||||
| Round Robin Hurkacz |
Round Robin Medvedev |
Round Robin Berrettini |
1/2 Djokovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-73 7-66 | 7-67 1-0 ret. | 7-64 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 35 | 14 | 32 | 99 | |
| pts | 61-41 | – | 66-57 | 98-90 | 225-188 | |
| Total points | 102 | 0 | 123 | 188 | 413 | |
| Winners | 32 | 28 | 54 | 114 | ||
| %Winners | 52% | NAN% | 42% | 55% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 11 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ||
| 1st in | 37/48 | / | 39/54 | 69/96 | 145/198 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | – | 72% | 72% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 32/37 | / | 28/39 | 54/69 | 114/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | – | 72% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/11 | / | 10/15 | 17/27 | 32/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | – | 67% | 63% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | ||
| Converted | 3/7 | / | 0/5 | 1/4 | 4/16 | |
| Converted % | 43% | – | 0% | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | ||
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/ | 2/2 | 3/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 100% | 75% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||
Head 2 Head
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- Alexander ZverevZverev – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (5-6) – H2H and prediction
