Kaitlin Quevedo and Nadia Podoroska will play each other in the final of the SP Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:30 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kaitlin Quevedo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kaitlin Quevedo is the pick to win this match.
Kaitlin Quevedo -> 1.69
Nadia Podoroska -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Kaitlin Quevedo vs. Nadia Podoroska
There is no head to head record between Kaitlin Quevedo and Nadia Podoroska since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Kaitlin Quevedo
38 - 19win/loss
105
94
WWWWLWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38-19 | 9-5 | 23-10 | 5-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 49-24 | 14-5 | 29-17 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 49-20 | 12-5 | 29-11 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-4 | 14-3 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 105, Quevedo reached the final after defeating Anastasia Tikhonova 6-0 6-2, Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva 6-2 6-1, Teodora Kostovic 6-3 6-4 and Anna Blinkova 6-4 2-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Quevedo defeated Blinkova (6-4 2-6 6-4). During the match, Quevedo and Blinkova scored the same amount of points (97). However, the world no. 105 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Quevedo made 2 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Kaitlin Quevedo lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Quevedo put 53% of her first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (22/47) on the 2nd serve. Quevedo broke Blinkova 4 times after converting 31% of her break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard has lost 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points she played.
WTA Sao Paulo - Kaitlin Quevedo's projected path
Quevedo has a solid record in the last 5 years having won 68% of her matches (165-77). 9-5 on hard in 2026. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Quevedo has an aggregate49-19 win-loss record in the last 5 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the Gaudens where she beat Andrea Lazaro Garcia in the final 6-3 6-2.
Kaitlin has an aggregate 38-19 win-loss record in 2026, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Sao Paulo
Kaitlin has never competed in this tournament before.
Nadia Podoroska
30 - 10win/loss
317
36
WWWWLWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30-10 | 17-3 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-29 | 17-14 | 10-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-33 | 13-13 | 24-14 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 7-6 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 317, the Argentine reached the final after defeating Lucrezia Stefanini 6-3 6-4, Eva Lys 7-5 6-2, Suzan Lamens 7-6(5) 3-6 6-3 and Paula Badosa 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Podoroska had a good straight sets win against Badosa (6-3 6-4). During the match Podoroska scored 70 points vs Badosa’s 59. The Argentine was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Podoroska scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Nadia Podoroska lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Podoroska put 59% of her first serves in, winning 67% (26/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. Podoroska broke Badosa 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
WTA Sao Paulo - Nadia Podoroska's projected path
Her best result of the season was winning the title the W35 San Gregorio where she overcame Lucciana Perez Alarcon in the final 2-6 6-4 7-6(5).
Podoroska has a compiled 30-10 win-loss record in 2026, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Quevedo | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 89 |
| Pts | 292-224 | 335-282 |
| Total Points | 516 | 617 |
| Winners | 100 | 111 |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% |
Both Quevedo and Podoroska played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Kaitlin Quevedo dropped 1 set, while Nadia Podoroska surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Quevedo and Podoroska have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Quevedo played 13 games less than Podoroska. Kaitlin scored 100 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine recorded 111 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Quevedo | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st in | 139/257 | 179/309 |
| %1st in | 54% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 100/139 | 111/179 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 62/118 | 59/130 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 45% |
Quevedo fired 6 aces (1.5 per match). Podoroska struck 5 aces (1.3 per match). Quevedo won 72% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Podoroska won 62% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Quevedo | Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 25 |
| Converted | 18/37 | 25/43 |
| % Converted | 49% | 58% |
| Conceded | 16 | 39 |
| Saved | 9 | 23 |
| % Saved | 56% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 16 |
Kaitlin broke her opponents 18 times with a 49% conversion rate. Quevedo surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. The Argentine broke her opponents 25 times with a 58% conversion rate. Podoroska conceded her serve 16 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded.
| Quevedo | ||||||
| R1 Tikhonova |
R2 Vitoria Leme Da |
1/4 Kostovic |
1/2 Blinkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 15 | 19 | 28 | 76 | |
| pts | 58-31 | 67-46 | 70-50 | 97-97 | 292-224 | |
| Total points | 89 | 113 | 120 | 194 | 516 | |
| Winners | 20 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 21/44 | 35/60 | 30/53 | 53/100 | 139/257 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 58% | 57% | 53% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 20/21 | 22/35 | 23/30 | 35/53 | 100/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 63% | 77% | 66% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 13/25 | 16/23 | 22/47 | 62/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 52% | 70% | 47% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/10 | 3/8 | 4/13 | 18/37 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 60% | 38% | 31% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 4/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 67% | 50% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Podoroska | ||||||
| R1 Stefanini |
R2 Lys |
1/4 Lamens |
1/2 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 6-2 | 7-65 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 31 | 19 | 89 | |
| pts | 68-56 | 81-58 | 116-109 | 70-59 | 335-282 | |
| Total points | 124 | 139 | 225 | 129 | 617 | |
| Winners | 20 | 27 | 38 | 26 | 111 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 33% | 33% | 37% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 27 | |
| 1st in | 36/62 | 45/87 | 59/94 | 39/66 | 179/309 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 52% | 63% | 59% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 20/36 | 27/45 | 38/59 | 26/39 | 111/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 60% | 64% | 67% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 17/42 | 17/35 | 10/27 | 59/130 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 40% | 49% | 37% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 8/10 | 5/15 | 6/11 | 25/43 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 80% | 33% | 55% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 39 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 9/14 | 8/13 | 4/7 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 64% | 62% | 57% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16 | |
Head 2 Head
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