Sebastian Baez and Juan Pablo Varillas will clash against each other in the quarter of the Buenos Aires Challenger for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on CANCHA 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.64
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 2.26
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Juan Pablo Varillas
This will be the 6th time that Sebastian Baez and Juan Pablo Varillas square off. The head to head is 3-2 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 6-4 7-5 in the final in the Santiago 2 Challenger back in October 2021.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 124 (career-high), Sebastian reached the quarter after defeating Pedro Cachin 3-6 6-2 6-3 and Juan Ignacio Londero 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Baez had a good straight sets win against Londero (6-3 6-4). During the match, Baez scored 66 points vs Londero’s 51. Baez was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Baez recorded 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Baez put 78% of his first serves in, winning 64% (25/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 18% (2/11) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Londero 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Baez started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.
Baez has a fantastic match record in the last 6 years having won 71% of his matches (142-59). 44-11 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Baez has an aggregate129-52 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and in the Santiago Challenger where he beat Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in the Zagreb Challenger where he defeated Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 3-6 6-3 6-1 and in the Santiago 3 Challenger where he beat Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves in the final 3-6 7-6(6) 6-1.
Sebastian has a compiled 46-13 win-loss record in 2021, 44-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Buenos Aires Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2017 and 2019. See his history.
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranked no. 129, the Peruvian got to the quarter after beating Nick Hardt 6-3 3-6 6-2 and Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Juan had a good straight sets win against Fa Rodriguez Taverna (6-4 6-2). During the match Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 65 points vs Fa Rodriguez Taverna’s 50. The Peruvian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Pablo Patino-Samudio blasted 5 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Juan Pablo Varillas was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Juan broke Fa Rodriguez Taverna 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Juan started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in the Biella 5 Challenger where he defeated Guido Andreozzi in the final 6-3 6-1 and in the Santiago 2 Challenger where he overcame Sebastian Baez in the final 6-4 7-5.
Pablo Patino-Samudio has an overall 46-19 win-loss record in 2021, 46-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 44 |
| Pts | 153-131 | 157-126 |
| Total Points | 284 | 283 |
| Winners | 72 | 66 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Both Baez and Pablo Patino-Samudio played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Baez surrendered 1 set, while Juan Pablo Varillas conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Baez and Pablo Patino-Samudio have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Baez played 1 game more than Pablo Patino-Samudio. The Argentine scored 72 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Juan recorded 66 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 108/148 | 90/145 |
| %1st in | 73% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 72/108 | 66/90 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 17/40 | 29/55 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 53% |
Baez fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 10 aces (5 per match). Baez won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Pablo Patino-Samudio |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/17 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 53% | 44% |
| Conceded | 10 | 17 |
| Saved | 5 | 14 |
| % Saved | 50% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 3 |
Baez broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Sebastian lost his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. Juan conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | ||||
| R1 Cachin |
R2 Londero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 45 | |
| pts | 87-80 | 66-51 | 153-131 | |
| Total points | 167 | 117 | 284 | |
| Winners | 47 | 25 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 38% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 69/98 | 39/50 | 108/148 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 78% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 47/69 | 25/39 | 72/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 64% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 2/11 | 17/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 18% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 6/13 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 46% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 0/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 0% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Pablo Patino-Samudio | ||||
| R1 Hardt |
R2 Fa Rodriguez Taverna |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 18 | 44 | |
| pts | 92-76 | 65-50 | 157-126 | |
| Total points | 168 | 115 | 283 | |
| Winners | 38 | 28 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 57/89 | 33/56 | 90/145 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 38/57 | 28/33 | 66/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 85% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 12/23 | 29/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 3/7 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 15 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 12/15 | 2/2 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 100% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWLLLW
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Buenos Aires Challenger
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Martin CuevasCuevas (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 3-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luciano Darderi/Juan Bautista TorresDarderi/Juan Bautista Torres – Rafael Matos/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues AlvesMatos/Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (7-63 2-6 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo DellienDellien – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (3-2) – H2H and prediction
