Paula Badosa Gibert and Victoria Azarenka will play each other in the final of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Victoria Azarenka who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Victoria Azarenka is the pick to win this match.
Victoria Azarenka -> 1.61
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 2.44
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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa Gibert vs. Victoria Azarenka
There is no head to head record between Paula Badosa Gibert and Victoria Azarenka since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Paula Badosa Gibert
Ranked no. 27, the Spaniard got to the final after defeating Dayana Yastremska 6-4 2-6 6-2, Cori Gauff 6-2 6-2, Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 7-5, Angelique Kerber 6-4 7-5 and Ons Jabeur 6-3 6-3.
In the semifinal, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-3 6-3). During the match, Badosa scored 74 points vs Jabeur’s 61. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Badosa scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 7 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve once and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 69% of her first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind her 1st serve and 35% (7/20) on the 2nd serve. Paula broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Badosa has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 65% of her matches (277-148). 16-7 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Badosa has a composed95-50 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in in Belgrade where she beat Ana Konjuh in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
Paula has an overall 40-15 win-loss record in 2021, 16-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2019. See her history.
Victoria Azarenka
Ranked no. 32, Victoria reached the final after beating Magda Linette 7-5 3-0 ret., Petra Kvitova 7-5 6-4, Aliaksandra Sasnovich 6-3 6-4, Jessica Pegula 6-4 6-2 and Jelena Ostapenko 3-6 6-3 7-5.
In the semifinal against Ostapenko, The Belarussian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Azarenka scored 104 points vs Ostapenko’s 100. Azarenka was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Azarenka recorded 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Victoria Azarenka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Azarenka put 59% of her first serves in, winning 63% (39/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (21/43) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Ostapenko 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Victoria’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Doha, Berlin and Indian Wells.
Azarenka has a compiled 28-8 win-loss record in 2021, 18-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Badosa | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 101 | 104 |
| Pts | 355-280 | 380-327 |
| Total Points | 635 | 707 |
| Winners | 148 | 127 |
| %Winners | 42% | 33% |
Both Badosa and Azarenka played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Paula Badosa Gibert surrendered 1 set, while Victoria Azarenka surrendered 1 set. Badosa has played 1 set(s) less than Azarenka (11 vs 12). Therefore, Badosa played 3 games less than Azarenka. Badosa scored 148 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Victoria scored 127 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Badosa | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 211/304 | 188/348 |
| %1st in | 69% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 148/211 | 127/188 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 46/93 | 73/160 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 46% |
Badosa made 10 aces (2 per match). Azarenka managed to score 19 aces (3.8 per match). Badosa won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Azarenka won 68% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Badosa | Azarenka |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 24 | 27 |
| Converted | 24/53 | 27/47 |
| % Converted | 45% | 57% |
| Conceded | 27 | 39 |
| Saved | 17 | 24 |
| % Saved | 63% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 15 |
The Spaniard broke her opponents 24 times with a 45% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 10 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. The Belarussian broke her opponents 27 times with a 57% conversion rate. Victoria conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Badosa | |||||||
| R2 Yastremska |
R3 Gauff |
R4 Krejcikova |
1/4 Kerber |
1/2 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 16 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 101 | |
| pts | 89-76 | 54-30 | 70-53 | 68-60 | 74-61 | 355-280 | |
| Total points | 165 | 84 | 123 | 128 | 135 | 635 | |
| Winners | 34 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 34 | 148 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 39% | 43% | 46% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 50/73 | 30/42 | 38/56 | 48/68 | 45/65 | 211/304 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 71% | 68% | 71% | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 24/30 | 27/38 | 29/48 | 34/45 | 148/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 80% | 71% | 60% | 76% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 9/12 | 8/18 | 10/20 | 7/20 | 46/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 75% | 44% | 50% | 35% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 4/5 | 6/9 | 5/7 | 4/15 | 24/53 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 80% | 67% | 71% | 27% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 9/10 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 60% | 40% | 90% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | |
| Azarenka | |||||||
| R2 Linette |
R3 Kvitova |
R4 Sasnovich |
1/4 Pegula |
1/2 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 3-0 ret. | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 19 | 18 | 30 | 104 | |
| pts | 54-41 | 77-69 | 68-57 | 77-60 | 104-100 | 380-327 | |
| Total points | 95 | 146 | 125 | 137 | 204 | 707 | |
| Winners | 15 | 23 | 20 | 30 | 39 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 30% | 29% | 39% | 38% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 1 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 21/45 | 39/75 | 29/62 | 37/61 | 62/105 | 188/348 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 52% | 47% | 61% | 59% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 23/39 | 20/29 | 30/37 | 39/62 | 127/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 59% | 69% | 81% | 63% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 18/36 | 15/33 | 8/24 | 21/43 | 73/160 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 50% | 45% | 33% | 49% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 27 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 6/11 | 6/9 | 5/13 | 5/8 | 27/47 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 55% | 67% | 38% | 63% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 39 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 8/12 | 5/8 | 2/4 | 9/13 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 63% | 50% | 69% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWW
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
