Angelique Kerber and Paula Badosa Gibert will face off in the quarter of the BNP Paribas Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa Gibert who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa Gibert is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa Gibert -> 1.7
Angelique Kerber -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Angelique Kerber vs. Paula Badosa Gibert
There is no head to head record between Angelique Kerber and Paula Badosa Gibert since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Angelique Kerber
Ranked no. 15, Angelique got to the quarter after beating Katerina Siniakova 6-1 6-74 7-5, Daria Kasatkina 6-2 1-6 6-4 and Ajla Tomljanovic 6-4 6-1.
In the 4th round, The German had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-4 6-1). During the match, Kerber scored 69 points vs Tomljanovic’s 53. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kerber scored just 1 ace and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Angelique Kerber lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kerber put 62% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (13/23) on the 2nd serve. Kerber broke Tomljanovic 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The German started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has dropped 2 set in this event to win 52% of the points she played.
Kerber has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (407-191). 14-7 on hard in 2021. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kerber has an aggregate 238-113 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Bad Homburg where she overcame Katerina Siniakova in the final 6-3 6-2.
The German has a compiled 29-14 win-loss record in 2021, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2019. See her history.
Paula Badosa Gibert
Ranked no. 27, Paula reached the quarter after defeating Dayana Yastremska 6-4 2-6 6-2, Cori Gauff 6-2 6-2 and Barbora Krejcikova 6-1 7-5.
In the 4th round, Paula had a good straight sets win against Krejcikova (6-1 7-5). During the match Badosa scored 70 points vs Krejcikova’s 53. Badosa was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa fired 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Paula Badosa Gibert lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 68% of her first serves in, winning 71% (27/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Krejcikova 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in in Belgrade where she overcame Ana Konjuh in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
Badosa has a compiled 38-15 win-loss record in 2021, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kerber | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 74 | 61 |
| Pts | 271-248 | 213-159 |
| Total Points | 519 | 372 |
| Winners | 103 | 85 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Both Kerber and Badosa played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Angelique Kerber dropped 2 sets, while Paula Badosa Gibert conceded 1 set. Kerber has played 1 set more than Badosa (8 vs 7). Therefore, Kerber played 13 games more than Badosa. The German scored 103 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa recorded 85 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kerber | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st in | 182/263 | 118/171 |
| %1st in | 69% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 103/182 | 85/118 |
| %1st pts | 57% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 37/81 | 29/53 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 55% |
Kerber bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Badosa bagged 7 aces (2.3 per match). Kerber won 57% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kerber | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 15 |
| Converted | 20/48 | 15/31 |
| % Converted | 42% | 48% |
| Conceded | 32 | 12 |
| Saved | 19 | 6 |
| % Saved | 59% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 13 | 6 |
Angelique broke her opponents 20 times with a 42% conversion rate. Angelique surrendered her serve 13 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Badosa broke her opponents 15 times with a 48% conversion rate. Badosa conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kerber | |||||
| R2 Siniakova |
R3 Kasatkina |
R4 Tomljanovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-74 7-5 | 6-2 1-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 25 | 17 | 74 | |
| pts | 118-108 | 84-87 | 69-53 | 271-248 | |
| Total points | 226 | 171 | 122 | 519 | |
| Winners | 44 | 35 | 24 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% | 35% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 78/108 | 66/94 | 38/61 | 182/263 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 70% | 62% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 44/78 | 35/66 | 24/38 | 103/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 53% | 63% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/30 | 13/28 | 13/23 | 37/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 46% | 57% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 9 | 6 | 5 | 20 | |
| Converted | 9/22 | 6/13 | 5/13 | 20/48 | |
| Converted % | 41% | 46% | 38% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 14 | 5 | 32 | |
| Saved | 7/13 | 8/14 | 4/5 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 54% | 57% | 80% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
| Badosa | |||||
| R2 Yastremska |
R3 Gauff |
R4 Krejcikova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 16 | 19 | 61 | |
| pts | 89-76 | 54-30 | 70-53 | 213-159 | |
| Total points | 165 | 84 | 123 | 372 | |
| Winners | 34 | 24 | 27 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 44% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 50/73 | 30/42 | 38/56 | 118/171 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 71% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 34/50 | 24/30 | 27/38 | 85/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 80% | 71% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 9/12 | 8/18 | 29/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 75% | 44% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/17 | 4/5 | 6/9 | 15/31 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 80% | 67% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 100% | 60% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLLLLLW
Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Ons JabeurJabeur (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Angelique KerberKerber (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (0-2) – H2H and prediction
