Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the BNP Paribas Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.27
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Pegula won 7-6(8) 6-2 in the 1st round in the Houston back in 2018.
Jessica Pegula
Ranked no. 24, Jessica reached the 3rd round after defeating Sloane Stephens 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Stephens (6-2 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 61 points vs Stephens’s 37. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula struck 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula was quite effective on serve to win 88% (21/24) of her 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pegula broke Stephens 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (256-165). 27-11 on hard in 2021. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a composed 134-77 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Jessica’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Doha and Montreal.
The American has an overall 37-18 win-loss record in 2021, 27-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2019. See her history.
Jasmine Paolini
Ranked no. 63, Jasmine reached the 3rd round after defeating Natalia Vikhlyantseva 6-1 6-4, Mai Hontama 6-0 3-6 6-2 and Elise Mertens 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Mertens, Paolini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Paolini scored 117 points vs Mertens’s 111. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about serving, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 8 times and she saved 19 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 71% of her first serves in, winning 54% (49/91) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (15/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Mertens 8 times after converting 50% of her break points (8/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jasmine started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in the Bol where she overcame Arantxa Rus in the final 6-2 7-6(4) and in in Portoroz where she beat Alison Riske in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.
The Italian has an aggregate 29-21 win-loss record in 2021, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Jasmine has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 69 |
| Pts | 61-37 | 267-234 |
| Total Points | 98 | 501 |
| Winners | 21 | 120 |
| %Winners | 34% | 45% |
Pegula played 1 match while Paolini competed in 3 matches. Paolini started her run from the qualifications while Pegula had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini surrendered 2 sets while Jessica Pegula hasn’t conceded a set so far. Pegula has played 6 set(s) less than Paolini (2 vs 8). Therefore, Pegula played 52 games less than Paolini. Jessica scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Jasmine made 120 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 24/45 | 193/281 |
| %1st in | 53% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 120/193 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 36/88 |
| %2nd pts | 71% | 41% |
Pegula struck 2 aces . Paolini bagged 2 aces (0.7 per match). Pegula won 88% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 62% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 18 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 18/32 |
| % Converted | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded | 0 | 43 |
| Saved | 0 | 31 |
| % Saved | NAN% | 72% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 12 |
Pegula broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Pegula pretty effective on her serve as she has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Italian broke her opponents 18 times with a 56% conversion rate. Paolini conceded her serve 12 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||
| R2 Stephens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 61-37 | 61-37 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/45 | 24/45 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 21/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 15/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 71% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Paolini | ||||||
| Q1 Vikhlyantseva |
Q3 Kozlova |
R1 Hontama |
R2 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-0 3-6 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 16 | 23 | 29 | 85 | |
| pts | 72-58 | – | 78-65 | 117-111 | 267-234 | |
| Total points | 130 | 0 | 143 | 228 | 501 | |
| Winners | 31 | 40 | 49 | 120 | ||
| %Winners | 43% | NAN% | 51% | 42% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 3 | 10 | ||
| 1st in | 46/75 | / | 56/78 | 91/128 | 193/281 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | – | 72% | 71% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 31/46 | / | 40/56 | 49/91 | 120/193 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | – | 71% | 54% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/29 | / | 9/22 | 15/37 | 36/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | – | 41% | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | ||
| Converted | 5/5 | / | 5/11 | 8/16 | 18/32 | |
| Converted % | 100% | – | 45% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 | 27 | 43 | ||
| Saved | 8/10 | 0/ | 4/6 | 19/27 | 31 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 67% | 70% | 217% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWWWL
LLLLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-3 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Ana KonjuhKonjuh (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-2 6-75 6-3) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Tereza MartincovaMartincova (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Alize CornetCornet (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Sloane StephensStephens (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Elise MertensMertens (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Shelby RogersRogers – Kristina KucovaKucova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Misaki DoiDoi (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Madison KeysKeys (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Irina-Camelia BeguBegu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Su-Wei HsiehHsieh (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Simona HalepHalep – Marta KostyukKostyuk (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Petra MarticMartic (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Arantxa RusRus (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Andre GoranssonGoransson – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (6-2 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian FanselowFanselow – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karolina PliskovaPliskova – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Anett KontaveitKontaveit – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-3 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Anastasija SevastovaSevastova (6-2 6-7(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-3 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Ana KonjuhKonjuh (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic – Garbine MuguruzaMuguruza (6-3 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Mayar SherifSherif – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alison RiskeRiske – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lauren DavisDavis – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktorija GolubicGolubic – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Zarina DiyasDiyas (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Cori GauffGauff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Angelique KerberKerber – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (5-1) – H2H and prediction
- Astra SharmaSharma – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tamara ZidansekZidansek – Ajla TomljanovicTomljanovic (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (5-3) – H2H and prediction
- Aliaksandra SasnovichSasnovich – Simona HalepHalep (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Shelby RogersRogers – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
