Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev will play each other in the final of the U.S. Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.41
Daniil Medvedev -> 3.22
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Daniil Medvedev
This will be the 9th time that Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev clash against each other. The head to head is 5-3 for Djokovic (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Djokovic won 7-5 6-2 6-2 in the final in at the Australian Open back in February 2021.
Highlights Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev – Australian Open 21-February-2021
Novak Djokovic
Currently world no. 1 Novak reached the final after defeating Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-1, Tallon Griekspoor 6-2 6-3 6-2, Kei Nishikori 6-74 6-3 6-3 6-2, Jenson Brooksby 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2, Matteo Berrettini 5-7 6-2 6-2 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2.
In the semifinal, Djokovic had a tough win against Zverev to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match, Djokovic scored 141 points vs Zverev’s 133. Djokovic was very aggressive to blast 76 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic struck 12 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (76/99) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (22/51) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Zverev 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Novak started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 6 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Djokovic has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (584-86). 19-2 on hard in 2021. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Djokovic has an overall 307-39 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in at the Australian Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-5 6-2 6-2 and in in Belgrade where he defeated Alex Molcan in the final 6-4 6-3 and in at the French Open where he overcame Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-7(6) 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 and in at the Wimbledon where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 6-7(4) 6-4 6-4 6-3.
Novak has an aggregate 44-5 win-loss record in 2021, 19-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, he won this tournament 3 times in 2011, 2015 and 2018. See his history.
Daniil Medvedev
Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Medvedev got to the final after defeating Richard Gasquet 6-4 6-3 6-1, Dominik Koepfer 6-4 6-1 6-2, Pablo Andujar 6-0 6-4 6-3, Daniel Evans 6-3 6-4 6-3, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5 and Felix Auger Aliassime 6-4 7-5 6-2.
In the semifinal, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Auger-Aliassime (6-4 7-5 6-2). During the match Medvedev scored 104 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 73. Medvedev was quite aggressive to blast 48 winners.
About the serving games, Medvedev struck 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (48/59) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Auger-Aliassime 5 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in in Marseille where he beat Pierre-Hugues Herbert in the final 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4 and in in Mallorca where he defeated Sam Querrey in the final 6-4 6-2 and in in Toronto where he beat Reilly Opelka in the final 6-4 6-3.
Medvedev has an overall 46-10 win-loss record in 2021, 30-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2019. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 24 | 19 |
| Tot Games | 214 | 171 |
| Pts | 755-606 | 609-423 |
| Total Points | 1361 | 1032 |
| Winners | 330 | 250 |
| %Winners | 44% | 41% |
Both Djokovic and Medvedev played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Novak Djokovic lost 6 sets, while Daniil Medvedev lost 1 set. Djokovic has played 5 sets more than Medvedev (24 vs 19). Therefore, Djokovic played 43 games more than Medvedev. The Serbian scored 330 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Medvedev bagged 250 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 78 | 70 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 11.7 |
| 1st in | 427/672 | 304/461 |
| %1st in | 64% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 330/427 | 250/304 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 129/245 | 89/157 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 57% |
Djokovic bagged 78 aces (13 per match). Medvedev blasted 70 aces (11.7 per match). Djokovic won 77% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 38 | 36 |
| Converted | 38/77 | 36/68 |
| % Converted | 49% | 53% |
| Conceded | 48 | 17 |
| Saved | 36 | 11 |
| % Saved | 75% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 6 |
The Serbian broke his opponents 38 times with a 49% conversion rate. Djokovic lost his serve 12 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Medvedev broke his opponents 36 times with a 53% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Djokovic | ||||||||
| R1 Vitus Nodskov Rune |
R2 Griekspoor |
R3 Nishikori |
R4 Brooksby |
1/4 Berrettini |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-75 6-2 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 6-2 | 6-74 6-3 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-3 6-2 6-2 | 5-7 6-2 6-2 6-3 | 4-6 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 24 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 25 | 39 | 32 | 37 | 46 | 214 | |
| pts | 111-79 | 90-58 | 150-124 | 116-95 | 147-117 | 141-133 | 755-606 | |
| Total points | 190 | 148 | 274 | 211 | 264 | 274 | 1361 | |
| Winners | 53 | 37 | 63 | 48 | 53 | 76 | 330 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 41% | 42% | 41% | 36% | 54% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 17 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 78 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 26 | |
| 1st in | 62/97 | 46/72 | 82/131 | 66/105 | 72/117 | 99/150 | 427/672 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 63% | 63% | 62% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 53/62 | 37/46 | 63/82 | 48/66 | 53/72 | 76/99 | 330/427 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 80% | 77% | 73% | 74% | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 14/26 | 25/49 | 21/39 | 30/45 | 22/51 | 129/245 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 54% | 51% | 54% | 67% | 43% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 8 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 38 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 6/10 | 7/16 | 6/12 | 5/16 | 6/9 | 38/77 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 31% | 67% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 48 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/4 | 11/13 | 8/11 | 4/5 | 9/12 | 36 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 75% | 85% | 73% | 80% | 75% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | |
| Medvedev | ||||||||
| R1 Gasquet |
R2 Koepfer |
R3 Andujar |
R4 Evans |
1/4 Van De Zandschulp |
1/2 Auger-Aliassime |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-1 6-2 | 6-0 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 37 | 30 | 171 | |
| pts | 103-70 | 88-60 | 99-67 | 94-61 | 121-92 | 104-73 | 609-423 | |
| Total points | 173 | 148 | 166 | 155 | 213 | 177 | 1032 | |
| Winners | 36 | 33 | 32 | 47 | 54 | 48 | 250 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 38% | 32% | 50% | 45% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 15 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 70 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 41/68 | 41/59 | 42/71 | 56/78 | 65/99 | 59/86 | 304/461 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 69% | 59% | 72% | 66% | 69% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 36/41 | 33/41 | 32/42 | 47/56 | 54/65 | 48/59 | 250/304 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 80% | 76% | 84% | 83% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/27 | 11/18 | 16/29 | 11/22 | 19/34 | 14/27 | 89/157 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 61% | 55% | 50% | 56% | 52% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 36 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 7/17 | 7/13 | 5/8 | 7/12 | 5/5 | 36/68 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 41% | 54% | 63% | 58% | 100% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 2/3 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 0% | 75% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLWW
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