Sebastian Baez and Ergi Kirkin will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Kyiv Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on COURT 10. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.188
Ergi Kirkin -> 4.75
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Ergi Kirkin
There is no head to head record between Sebastian Baez and Ergi Kirkin since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Sebastian Baez
Ranked no. 155, Baez got to the semifinal after defeating Illya Beloborodko 6-3 7-5, Alex Rybakov 6-4 6-2 and Filip Cristian Jianu 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Baez had a good straight sets win against Cristian Jianu (6-3 7-5). During the match, Baez scored 77 points vs Cristian Jianu’s 58. Sebastian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez made 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Sebastian Baez was very effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sebastian broke Cristian Jianu 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Baez has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 70% of his matches (130-57). 32-9 on clay in 2021. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Baez has a composed117-50 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title in the Concepcion Challenger where he defeated Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(5) and in the Santiago Challenger where he beat Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 6-3 7-6(4) and in the Zagreb Challenger where he overcame Juan Pablo Varillas in the final 3-6 6-3 6-1.
The Argentine has an aggregate 34-11 win-loss record in 2021, 32-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kyiv Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Ergi Kirkin
Ranked no. 347 (career-high), the Turk reached the semifinal after beating Clement Tabur 6-4 7-65, Sergiy Stakhovsky 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Dmitry Popko 6-4 1-0 ret..
In the quarter, Ergi had a good straight sets win against Popko (6-4 1-0 ret.). During the match Kirkin scored 35 points vs Popko’s 25. Ergi was extremely aggressive to blast 8 winners.
About the serving games, Kirkin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Ergi Kirkin was very efficient on serve to win 73% (8/11) of his 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Ergi broke Popko twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kirkin started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Ergi’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Vejle,M15 Parnu and M25 Ueberlingen.
Ergi has an aggregate 34-19 win-loss record in 2021, 28-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 61 |
| Pts | 231-191 | 201-171 |
| Total Points | 422 | 372 |
| Winners | 87 | 63 |
| %Winners | 38% | 31% |
Both Baez and Kirkin played 3 matches. At the moment, Ergi Kirkin lost 1 set while Sebastian Baez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Baez has played 2 set(s) less than Kirkin (6 vs 8). Therefore, Baez played 1 game less than Kirkin. The Argentine scored 87 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Ergi bagged 63 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 134/179 | 94/187 |
| %1st in | 75% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 87/134 | 63/94 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 28/45 | 62/93 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 67% |
Baez scored 5 aces (1.7 per match). Kirkin struck 6 aces (2 per match). Baez won 65% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Kirkin won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Kirkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 9 |
| Converted | 14/38 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 37% | 53% |
| Conceded | 17 | 9 |
| Saved | 12 | 4 |
| % Saved | 71% | 44% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 |
Baez broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. Sebastian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Turk broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Ergi conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | |||||
| R1 Beloborodko |
R2 Rybakov |
1/4 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 21 | 60 | |
| pts | 74-66 | 80-67 | 77-58 | 231-191 | |
| Total points | 140 | 147 | 135 | 422 | |
| Winners | 31 | 32 | 24 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 31% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 50/69 | 51/60 | 33/50 | 134/179 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 85% | 66% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 31/50 | 32/51 | 24/33 | 87/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 63% | 73% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 4/9 | 12/17 | 28/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 44% | 71% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 5/16 | 5/13 | 14/38 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 31% | 38% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 9 | 3 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 7/9 | 1/3 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 78% | 33% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Kirkin | |||||
| R1 Tabur |
R2 Stakhovsky |
1/4 Popko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 27 | 11 | 61 | |
| pts | 83-73 | 83-73 | 35-25 | 201-171 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | 60 | 372 | |
| Winners | 23 | 32 | 8 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 39% | 23% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/74 | 45/81 | 11/32 | 94/187 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 56% | 34% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 23/38 | 32/45 | 8/11 | 63/94 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 71% | 73% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/36 | 22/36 | 15/21 | 62/93 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 61% | 71% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 80% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/3 | 1/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 50% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLLLWLL
LLWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Kyiv Challenger
- Franco AgamenoneAgamenone – Oleksii KrutykhKrutykh (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ergi KirkinKirkin – Dmitry PopkoPopko (6-4 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-75 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Ergi KirkinKirkin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (1-0) – H2H and prediction
